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What do you predict the ultimate outcome of this Euro fight will be?

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broadlandboy
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Post by MarcusHalberstram Tue 24 Sep 2013, 11:35 am

First topic message reminder :

Up until this week, I really believed all this Euro-posturing was just going to be a bit of a storm in a teacup. But now I’m genuinely worried and beginning to wonder where all this will end [“Don’t panic Mr Mannering!”]. I hope I've thought of all the main possibilities...

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Post by lostinwales Tue 24 Sep 2013, 2:40 pm

What is wrong with teams controlling TV contracts for home games.

Knockout games would have to have separate agreements - but apart from those?

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Post by LondonTiger Tue 24 Sep 2013, 2:52 pm

Option 4, along with the majority.

I do not believe there will be any European Competition in 2014/15 as while I can see RFU and PRL reaching an accord, I struggle to see either LNR or FFR making the necessary concessions.

Sky are unlikely to be interested in what would effectively be a second Pro12 tournament, as they already have the rights for the original Pro12. Thus I see them backing out of their deal with ERC, and ERC as an entity folding.

All parties will then meet to discuss a new tournament, and who knows maybe a restructured season for post RWC 2015. Now the 2015/16 domestic tournaments will already be disrupted with English clubs and Welsh regions banned by the IRB from playing during the World Cup. this probably means that any new competition would start in 2016/17.

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Post by Exiledinborders Tue 24 Sep 2013, 2:56 pm

TJ wrote:tehre is nothing else we can do - we have done what we can in adjusting our structure to maximise our return both in playing terms and financial terms with the current cross border set up. we simply cant raise enough money in scotland.  
I do not accept that the game cannot grow in Scotland or Wales come to that. In both countries the unions created a structure that has managed to alienate rugby supporters by not building on the existing clubs. In Wales in particular they destroyed something wonderful by usurping the place of teams like Pontypool, Neath etc at the top of the Welsh game. The English, French and Irish systems all built on what was already in place. In doing this they have grown the game.

I wonder if the different view one hears from Scotland say compared to England is because in truth no one in Scotland gives a flying fig for Edinburgh and Glasgow. They are just means to the end of helping the national team. I suspect I could find more people who love Melrose, Hawick or Accies say than Edinburgh. In England people care about their clubs because they have grown up with them. Yes they want England to be successful but that is not the be all and end all.

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Post by itsallabouttheincentives Tue 24 Sep 2013, 2:57 pm

its definitely going to be interesting! i think IRB will want to tread very carefully as well, as in the now professional era, there are all kinds of EU legal issues which they could fall afoul of if they throw their weight around too aggressively. And they know this. So i think they would rather reach an agreement than hand the decision over to a European court and risk losing.

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Post by TJ Tue 24 Sep 2013, 2:59 pm

That is slowly changing. glasgow especially are building a real following. It take time. we are where we are now. Scotland unfortunately simply cannot support a pro league

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Post by RF09 Tue 24 Sep 2013, 3:50 pm

So back to the original question...euro tournament next year?

Can anyone really afford there not to be..?

If this BT deal is so large and all countries are likely to get more, but the english clubs get a larger proportion...then its just a matter of negotiating on the money right?

So its all about that BT pie and little more...

Football all over again!
Sad!

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Post by Intotouch Fri 27 Sep 2013, 7:52 pm

What about the option where the FFR form French provincial teams and enter them in the h cup instead? This is what they've said that they'll do. So yes a h cup, but not as we've known it.

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Post by TJ Fri 27 Sep 2013, 7:58 pm

I'd ber fine with that. I'd prefer thier clubs but that would do and make it viable

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Post by Metal Tiger Sat 28 Sep 2013, 7:55 am

TJ wrote:I think the most likely outcome is a euro cup without the PRL teams.  It would be a real shame but that would appear to beit.  Perhaps we can have some non PRL english teams,perhpas we could invite Georgia, Spain et al to join in instead
The rab 12 will join. They can't survive without the English & French and most importantly the money.
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Post by Intotouch Sat 28 Sep 2013, 11:35 am

No, they'll have more internationals and put more money into the pro game first.

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Post by TJ Sat 28 Sep 2013, 9:05 pm

Metal Tiger wrote:
TJ wrote:I think the most likely outcome is a euro cup without the PRL teams.  It would be a real shame but that would appear to beit.  Perhaps we can have some non PRL english teams,perhpas we could invite Georgia, Spain et al to join in instead
The rab 12 will join. They can't survive without the English & French and most importantly the money.
There s no chance the pro 12 teams will join the proposed RCC unless the blueprint is changed radically

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Post by broadlandboy Sat 28 Sep 2013, 9:11 pm

What do you think would need to change?

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Post by TJ Sat 28 Sep 2013, 9:34 pm

A minimum of 8 Rabo entrants, a much fairer distribution of funds, a structure that prevents the PRL having control

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Post by broadlandboy Sat 28 Sep 2013, 10:01 pm

TJ, you seem to be focusing on just the top level,IMHO under the PRL all teams will compete at a similar level with the chance to progess if they are successful,each teams gets the same for participating & each team gets an equal say.

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Post by doctor_grey Sun 29 Sep 2013, 1:27 am

1. PRL/LNR will back down and a new ERC tournament will be created.
2. PRL/LNR will win the fight, their tournament (The Rugby Champions Cup) will be sanctioned by the unions and the PRO12 teams will join on PRL/LNR terms.  
Frankly, it is a mistake to look at this from the standpoint of who wins and who loses.  Rugby wins if we get a proper European competition which has the proper financial incentives and guarantees, and includes teams from each of the current Six Nations.  Rugby loses if we don't.  Whether it is run by the ERC or something else does not matter at all as long as there is proper governance in place.  This seems to be a problem for a lot of people who want to see their 'side' win (whatever that means).  But in reality it is only a distraction.

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Post by Gibson Sun 29 Sep 2013, 5:18 pm

I went for option 4. And I think the Celts and Italians should hold out and wait for a year if it happens. It will weaken the PRL/LNR pact if they do. We need them, but they really need us too. Otherwise its a farce.

England tried this craic with the 5-Nations a while back. Tried it with SKY, as it happens. They grew up, saw the Light and backed down.

Hold fast bhoys, there is far too much at stake here.

I am not locked into the ERC deal btw. They are just another option to me.  What is vitally  important here, is the future development of European club rugby and all the 6 Nations involved in it. The 6 Unions, in conjunction with the IRB, should sit down with all the clubs and bash out an agreement on the format of a new, truly European, tournament. If the Franglo Pact needs a carrot (and they do),   give them qualification on merit and the shekels that represents their fan and TV watching base.  That would be a carrot worth agreeing to.  

BTs proposed investment is huge, so it cannot be ignored. It could benefit us all in the long-term.  As long as they don't "Yank" it up too much. TV Ads in the middle of games an ting. If they have their way, all the best players from the PRO12, will head to France and maybe even England. This will kill the international game as we know it.  The Autumn Internationals and Summer Tours for instance, key to the NH improving their lot v the SH,  would be become a joke -  as it is in soccer internationals. The big-paying clubs will play hardball releasing their stars for them and they become subsequently meaningless.  

In reality, Glasgow are on the move and will be involved in any 1st tier Euro comp as it stands. As are Treviso. I expect them both to be constant top 6 PRO12 clubs over the next few years. The Welsh and Irish will always have two each in it, at least.  So that would cover all the Nations interests. The likes of Connacht, Edinburgh, Dragons and Zebre, should really accept the 2nd European  tier on a regular basis. Its up to them to improve, if they want to join the Top Table.  Same goes for the weaker French and English clubs. After all, that's what they want is it not?

So, what's the real core obstacle here? Total power and financial control  of European Rugby by the two class bullies, methinks. And that must be stopped at all costs. Any future rugby EC must be kept under the auspices and ultimate control of all the 6 Nations unions. Otherwise, it will be counter-productive to the game we all love, in the long-term. On that basis,  I fully expect the respective Unions and the IRB  to hold fast and show us why they  are there in the 1st place.  To mind our game from short-sighted, greedy,  basterds.  Otherwise... what is the point of them?  

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Post by Gibson Sun 29 Sep 2013, 5:22 pm

doctor_grey wrote:
1. PRL/LNR will back down and a new ERC tournament will be created.
2. PRL/LNR will win the fight, their tournament (The Rugby Champions Cup) will be sanctioned by the unions and the PRO12 teams will join on PRL/LNR terms.  
Frankly, it is a mistake to look at this from the standpoint of who wins and who loses.  Rugby wins if we get a proper European competition which has the proper financial incentives and guarantees, and includes teams from each of the current Six Nations.  Rugby loses if we don't.  Whether it is run by the ERC or something else does not matter at all as long as there is proper governance in place.  This seems to be a problem for a lot of people who want to see their 'side' win (whatever that means).  But in reality it is only a distraction.
Exactly Doc. That is the bottom-line for me too. No winners or losers, just inclusive, mutual  agreement, with the good of the game at heart.
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Post by Pot Hale Sun 29 Sep 2013, 5:33 pm

Given that a number of people have commented on the fact that the Irish set up has been largely successful, is there an option whereby the IRFU could decide to get on board with PRL/LNR and carve out their position.

I think a mistake that PRL/LNR have made is treating the PRO12  clubs as one - as if they all act the same, have the same structures, motivations, financial power, fan bases, etc, etc.

They don't.

If you're going to dance with the devil, why do it in company?
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Post by Guest Sun 29 Sep 2013, 5:44 pm

The Unions do not have the game at heart - complete tosh. They are in it for themselves first and second and consideration for the wider game a distant third. I like the quotes; the IRB won't sanction anything not sanctioned by the Unions and the Unions won't sanction anything not sanctioned by the IRB - who blinks first?? Classic amateur rugby administrators.
Any euro competition that has teams virtually and artificially made up of players from the same test sides for Unions is a false club competition.

After the best part of two years, this euro argument has now got going, now that the lines have finally been drawn, one side kicking and screaming, the other issuing far too many statements in the media. The lawyers are getting ready as we speak. This should have all been avoided and has now escalated beyond the original demands/discussion.

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Post by Pot Hale Sun 29 Sep 2013, 5:51 pm

Recwatcher wrote:
Any euro competition that has teams virtually and artificially made up of players from the same test sides for Unions is a false club competition.
And yet the PRL/LNR wants (desperately some might think) to have these "false clubs" involved in their new cup.   They even say they will face financial ruin if they don't.

Why?  They're only throwing them a bone (8% each) - why bother to have them involved?

Why not just split the proceeds 50/50?

I'm trying to recall when, if ever, the PRL have given a positive reason as to why the PRO 12 teams should be included, beyond saying they will get more money than they're currently getting.
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Post by Guest Sun 29 Sep 2013, 6:16 pm

I agree Pot, if I had my way the PRL would concentrate on the english domestic scene before all this cherry on top stuff. The second and third tiers need more support before we start thinking about foreign competition. Leave that to the 6N and RWC.

BT have got the english game for a song and is relatively worth much, much more. Thats what should be developed.

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Post by Exiledinborders Sun 29 Sep 2013, 6:25 pm

Recwatcher wrote:I agree Pot, if I had my way the PRL would concentrate on the english domestic scene before all this cherry on top stuff. The second and third tiers need more support before we start thinking about foreign competition. Leave that to the 6N and RWC.

BT have got the english game for a song and is relatively worth much, much more. Thats what should be developed.
I am not sure why you say they got it for a song. They paid more than anyone else was offering.

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Post by nganboy Mon 30 Sep 2013, 8:27 am

How about number 5
with union players eligible for IRB internationals. That's what would have happened if Jeff Wilson hadn't signed for the All Blacks.
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Post by lostinwales Mon 30 Sep 2013, 9:23 am

Where it should probably end is with the 2 tier 20 game competition, broadly managed by a consortium of clubs and unions, with greater freedom for the individual units to go after their own tv deals. Its not going to be the ERC. It might be the super dooper rugby champions whatever but only if heavily modified.

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Post by HammerofThunor Mon 30 Sep 2013, 12:13 pm

Gibson wrote:I went for option 4. And I think the Celts and Italians should hold out and wait for a year if it happens. It will weaken the PRL/LNR pact if they do. We need them, but they really need us too. Otherwise its a farce.

England tried this craic with the 5-Nations a while back. Tried it with SKY, as it happens. They grew up, saw the Light and backed down.

Hold fast bhoys, there is far too much at stake here.

I am not locked into the ERC deal btw. They are just another option to me.  What is vitally  important here, is the future development of European club rugby and all the 6 Nations involved in it. The 6 Unions, in conjunction with the IRB, should sit down with all the clubs and bash out an agreement on the format of a new, truly European, tournament. If the Franglo Pact needs a carrot (and they do),   give them qualification on merit and the shekels that represents their fan and TV watching base.  That would be a carrot worth agreeing to.  They're asking for that. They're asking for each team to have the same starting money, regardless of tier. Something the unions clearly don't want because they don't have many/any teams in the 2nd tier

BTs proposed investment is huge, so it cannot be ignored. It could benefit us all in the long-term.  As long as they don't "Yank" it up too much. TV Ads in the middle of games an ting. If they have their way, all the best players from the PRO12, will head to France and maybe even England. This will kill the international game as we know it.  The Autumn Internationals and Summer Tours for instance, key to the NH improving their lot v the SH,  would be become a joke -  as it is in soccer internationals. The big-paying clubs will play hardball releasing their stars for them and they become subsequently meaningless. Play hardball? How? They can't stop players from representing their country in the International Window. Given that everyone stands to make more money (in absolute terms). So it will be a question of players going abroad for even more money. If they say they're retiring from international rugby to do that then they sold out. Up to them. That's even assuming that any players ARE discouraged from playing international rugby.

In reality, Glasgow are on the move and will be involved in any 1st tier Euro comp as it stands. As are Treviso. I expect them both to be constant top 6 PRO12 clubs over the next few years. The Welsh and Irish will always have two each in it, at least.  So that would cover all the Nations interests. The likes of Connacht, Edinburgh, Dragons and Zebre, should really accept the 2nd European  tier on a regular basis. Its up to them to improve, if they want to join the Top Table.  Same goes for the weaker French and English clubs. After all, that's what they want is it not? Adding some meaning to the CC is one of the main driving points of the PRL in this. So far the ERC has done little to nothing to develope the CC as they have little involvement. The only thing that happened is the drop down form the HEC which benefits the PRO12 unions while undermining the pool stages even more. It's a farse and the current controlling body has done nothing about it.

So, what's the real core obstacle here? Total power and financial control  of European Rugby by the two class bullies, methinks. Total control? What does that even mean? Why should you be expecting the PRL want more control over Europe than they do over their own league? The RFU still has a say over all major changes and has blocked the PRL from making ones they don't agree with And that must be stopped at all costs. Any future rugby EC must be kept under the auspices and ultimate control of all the 6 Nations unions. Otherwise, it will be counter-productive to the game we all love, in the long-term. On that basis,  I fully expect the respective Unions and the IRB  to hold fast and show us why they  are there in the 1st place.  To mind our game from short-sighted, greedy,  basterds.  Otherwise... what is the point of them?  

Believe.

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Post by HammerofThunor Mon 30 Sep 2013, 12:20 pm

Pot Hale wrote:
Recwatcher wrote:
Any euro competition that has teams virtually and artificially made up of players from the same test sides for Unions is a false club competition.
And yet the PRL/LNR wants (desperately some might think) to have these "false clubs" involved in their new cup.   They even say they will face financial ruin if they don't.

Why?  They're only throwing them a bone (8% each) - why bother to have them involved?

Why not just split the proceeds 50/50?

I'm trying to recall when, if ever, the PRL have given a positive reason as to why the PRO 12 teams should be included, beyond saying they will get more money than they're currently getting.
What reason has anyone given for wanting a pan-European competition? When the PRL say they want it, they're desperate, greedy, selfish. When the unions say it they're thinking of the bigger game. Everyone knows a pan-european competition is better simply because it grows rugby better. Mainly financially and don't kid yourself thinking that not all parties are after. Also in terms of development, they all want that. It's not just the unions that want to develop their players (even discounting that most of the people behind English rugby are there because they love rugby), not just for the international game. And if the sole point of non-international rugby is to develop players for international rugby then we have serious issues.

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