ATP points preview Austrailian Open 2014

First topic message reminder :

Since no one has done this yet, I thought I would (based on a table by summerblues).
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New	Old	Name	Old	Dropped	Gained	New	Move
1	1	Nadal	13,130	0	1200	14,330
2	2	Djokovic	12,260	2000	360	10,620
3	8	Wawrinka	3,890	180	2000	5,710	+5
4	5	Del Potro	5,415	90	45	5,370	+1
5	3	Ferrer	5,640	720	360	5,280	-2
6	4	Murray	5,560	1,200	360	4,720	-2
7	7	Berdych	4,180	360	720	4,540
8	6	Federer	4,355	720	720	4,355	-2

With 7 of the top 8 seeds still playing (as of R4 and now QF) there is alot of movement possible outside the top two (who are locked in). I'll stick to some of the easier possibilities.

Ferrer needs to make the SF to overtake Del Potro (and will keep 3rd position unless Murray W).

Murray needs to make the F to overtake Del Potro (and keep a top 4 position).  

Berdych/Wawrinka/Federer needs the W to overtake Del Potro (would also move them into top 4)

Since they could play in the QF: If Federer makes the F, he overtakes Murray.

Update after first two QFs. Still no movement, but we will get some after the SFs. Less than 1000 points separates 3rd from 7th. Del Potro looking more likely to break into top 4 (he would need a Murray F and Berdych/Wawrinka W to fall to 5th).

Update after the second QFs. So Murray will fall to 6th after being overtaken by the winner of Berdych/Wawrinka (who will take 5th), and 7th if Federer makes the final. Del Potro is now guaranteed at least 4th.

Update after the first SF. Wawrinka up to 5th. Murray down to 6th.

Update after the final. Wawrinka up five places to 3rd. Del Potro up into the top 4. Ferrer and Murray out of the top 4. It will be interesting to see if Wawrinka and Del Potro now get easier draws. Federer also drops despite defending his SF points, but won't matter for seeding.

Thanks Yvonne.

Johny

There's currently quite a big gap between 8 and 9 - will have to wait for the list to update tomorrow to get an exact number but I think it'll be over 1000 points. Remember Fed didn't lose any points relative to last year, simply got passed by Stan and Berdych doing better than they did previously.

For those contemplating Andy's ranking, it's worth pointing out that he is not counting any points from MS500s and one of the counting 250s is Doha, where he only picked up about 20 points. Between those, missing RG and an early injury withdrawal from Rome last year, there is some scope for adding 'free' points before Wimbledon.

Given how close it is between 4th and 8th (just over 1000 points), there are likely to be a few movements up and down that bit of the ranking in the next few months.