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Summer Tours competition - Predictions. GET YOUR WEEK THREE PREDICTIONS IN!!!

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wales606
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Post by Biltong Fri 01 Jun 2012, 9:12 am

First topic message reminder :

Before you all get too excited, there are no prizes, you win, you tap yourself on the back and you get a world ranking or in this case a 606 ranking.

It is very simple, all you do is you predict the score with the home team first and the away team second. The points system work on a points difference calculation.

So you get no bonus points for predicting the winner, you only get points for accuracy.

Example. SA beat england by 26-15. So they win by 11

There are 4 possible predictions:

your winning margin is bigger, (26-0), your result +15
your winning margin is smaller ( 26-20), your result -6
your picked the other team to win (10-26), your result is -25
you predicted a draw (26-26), your result is -11

The winner is the poster who has the lowest points difference by the end of the competition.

Week one predictions.
Australia vs Scotland
New Zealand vs Ireland
Australia vs Wales
SA vs England
Argentina vs Italy

Week two predictions.
SA Barbarians South vs England
New Zealand vs Ireland
Australia vs Wales
SA vs England
Italy vs Canada
Scotland vs Fiji
Argentina vs France

Week three predictions.
Scotland vs Samoa
SA Barbarians North vs England
New Zealand vs Ireland
Australia vs Wales
SA vs England
Argentina vs France
Italy vs USA

If you join the party too late and miss any predictions, you will get a -50 penalty added to your tally.

Your points are cumulative and the decision of this judge is final, if your see any Summer tour matches I have missed please let me know.

Good luck.


Leaderboard after week two.

Spoiler:


Last edited by biltongbek on Sun 24 Jun 2012, 12:20 pm; edited 8 times in total (Reason for editing : Stickied)
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Post by Biltong Mon 04 Jun 2012, 7:37 am

I thought I'll keep the Pacific nations out out of this as it isn't part of the NH tours.

Maybe I should have added it, but then it also becomes more work, and I am known to be rather lazy. Shocked
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Post by Pal Joey Mon 04 Jun 2012, 7:39 am

I thought you liked making extra work for yourself? Whistle

How big is the spreadsheet? Laugh

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Post by Biltong Mon 04 Jun 2012, 7:43 am

Fortunately not to big yet, there is only 18 entrants so far.
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Post by Suspicious lurker Mon 04 Jun 2012, 7:57 am


Australia vs Scotland

35-11

New Zealand vs Ireland

32-17

Australia vs Wales

17-22

SA vs England

28-16

Argentina vs Italy

18-12

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Post by PJHolybloke Mon 04 Jun 2012, 8:57 am

Aus v Sco

35-12


NZ V Ire

23-18


Aus v Wal

18-23


SA v Eng

24-27


Arg v Ita

21-9
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Post by robbo277 Mon 04 Jun 2012, 9:23 am

Just to check, but it seems there could be a problem with the scoring. For example, if I score as follows:

Match 1: +20
Match 2: -15
Match 3: -15
Match 4: +10

Then they add up to zero and I get the same points as someone who has managed to pick the differences correctly. So the negatives signs shouldn't be there and it should just be: 20, 15, 15, 10 = 60.

Anyway, I'm sure you had that covered already, but my predictions are:

Australia 30 - 12 Scotland
New Zealand 44 - 9 Ireland (sorry Ireland)
Australia 24 - 22 Wales
SA 17 - 22 England (heart over head)
Argentina 18 - 12 Italy

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Post by Guest Mon 04 Jun 2012, 9:38 am

Mmmm Headscratch Think you're onto something there.

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Post by rodders Mon 04 Jun 2012, 9:45 am

Australia vs Scotland 32 - 12
New Zealand vs Ireland 21 - 23 guinness
Australia vs Wales 24 - 28
SA vs England 26 - 10
Argentina vs Italy 26 - 12

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Post by majesticimperialman Mon 04 Jun 2012, 9:55 am

Australia 20 = Scotland 18

Australia 26 = Wales 20

SA 20 = England 30

New Zealand 35 = Ireland 15

Argentina 35 = Italia 18

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Post by Biltong Mon 04 Jun 2012, 9:56 am

robbo277 wrote:Just to check, but it seems there could be a problem with the scoring. For example, if I score as follows:

Match 1: +20
Match 2: -15
Match 3: -15
Match 4: +10

Then they add up to zero and I get the same points as someone who has managed to pick the differences correctly. So the negatives signs shouldn't be there and it should just be: 20, 15, 15, 10 = 60.

Anyway, I'm sure you had that covered already, but my predictions are:

Australia 30 - 12 Scotland
New Zealand 44 - 9 Ireland (sorry Ireland)
Australia 24 - 22 Wales
SA 17 - 22 England (heart over head)
Argentina 18 - 12 Italy

i need to have a quick think about it, I agree with you though.
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Post by Biltong Mon 04 Jun 2012, 10:10 am

OK, had a think about it, the score will be ranked on correct predictions and points difference then

so you could have 2 guys with the same number of predions correct, but their points diifference will depict the winner
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Post by Pete C (Kiwireddevil) Mon 04 Jun 2012, 10:16 am

Week one predictions.
Australia 29 vs Scotland 15
New Zealand 32 vs Ireland 16
Australia 25 vs Wales 20
SA 21 vs England 15
Argentina 21 vs Italy 12
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Post by Geordie Mon 04 Jun 2012, 10:20 am

Australia 25 vs Scotland 26
New Zealand 32 vs Ireland 16
Australia 15 vs Wales 35
SA 21 vs England 21
Argentina 21 vs Italy 12

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Post by robbo277 Mon 04 Jun 2012, 10:25 am

If you are doing it in an excel spreadsheet:

.ABCD
1PlayerSouth AfricaEnglandPlayer score
2Actual2516=B2-C2
3robbo2771722=abs($D$2-(B3-C3))
4biltongbek3010=abs($D$2-(B4-C4))

Should work out for you. Obviously you'd need a line for every player playing, and a different sheet for every matched played. The player score column can easily be filled by entering that formula into D3 and then dragging down.

Taking my prediction as an example, B2-C2 would be 9 (using the actual score given in the example in the OP). My B3-C3 would be -5, so 9 minus -5 is 14, my score is 14.

I know that's not the score you predicted, but it's needed for the example. "Your" prediction was South Africa by 20. 9 - 20 is -11, but the =abs() function will return 11. Your score is 11.

Not sure how much work it would be collating all the scores at the end, although I suppose you could copy and paste all the data onto one master sheet, sort by player name and then subtotal at each change in player name.

Sorry, I'm a bit of an excel geek. I do pretty much spend 8 hours a day on the program though!

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Post by Biltong Mon 04 Jun 2012, 10:29 am

I have it pretty muvh set out as you explained there, just need to add an additional function to it. thumbsup
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Post by BigTrevsbigmac Mon 04 Jun 2012, 10:29 am

Australia vs Scotland. 24-12
New Zealand vs Ireland 38-18
Australia vs Wales. 32-21
SA vs England. 25-18
Argentina vs Italy 18-9

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Post by bsando Mon 04 Jun 2012, 10:34 am

Australia 34-17 Scotland
New Zealand 30-21 Ireland
Australia 26-18 Wales
SA 17-16 England
Argentina 28-12 Italy

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Post by jeffwinger Mon 04 Jun 2012, 10:40 am

Australia 31-9 Scotland
NZ 39-12 Ireland
Australia 21-20 Wales
SA 19-15 England
Argentina 20-10 Italy

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Post by Guest Mon 04 Jun 2012, 10:50 am

Week 1
Southern hemisphere = a lot of points
Northern hemisphere = a fair few points

Week 2
Southern hemisphere = a ridiculous amount of points
Northern hemisphere = wheels fall off

Week 3
Southern hemisphere = really showing off now
Northern hemisphere =what the hell happened? It's the wage cap / lack of intensity in our leagues /every excuse under sun.

I honestly can't see any NH team causing an upset, we are still a good five+ years behind the SH in every facet of the game.

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Post by Pete C (Kiwireddevil) Mon 04 Jun 2012, 10:52 am

viewtothegym wrote:Week 1
Southern hemisphere = a lot of points
Northern hemisphere = a fair few points

Week 2
Southern hemisphere = a ridiculous amount of points
Northern hemisphere = wheels fall off

Week 3
Southern hemisphere = really showing off now
Northern hemisphere =what the hell happened? It's the wage cap / lack of intensity in our leagues /every excuse under sun.

I honestly can't see any NH team causing an upset, we are still a good five+ years behind the SH in every facet of the game.

Hug

Chin up mate. I fancy Wales to pinch one off the Aussies at least. It only needs a couple of injuries in the Wallabies front row ...
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Post by Biltong Mon 04 Jun 2012, 10:54 am

viewtothegym wrote:Week 1
Southern hemisphere = a lot of points
Northern hemisphere = a fair few points

Week 2
Southern hemisphere = a ridiculous amount of points
Northern hemisphere = wheels fall off

Week 3
Southern hemisphere = really showing off now
Northern hemisphere =what the hell happened? It's the wage cap / lack of intensity in our leagues /every excuse under sun.

I honestly can't see any NH team causing an upset, we are still a good five+ years behind the SH in every facet of the game.

I put a lot of points into the spreadsheet. Although it came back with "It does not compute", it did say "sorry about your mood".
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Post by Welshmushroom Mon 04 Jun 2012, 10:57 am

My shouts are:-

Week one predictions.
Australia 23 vs Scotland 12
New Zealand 26 vs Ireland 12
Australia 26 vs Wales 30
SA 15 vs England 18
Argentina 30 vs Italy 16

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Post by mankiaow Mon 04 Jun 2012, 3:22 pm

Oz v Scot 25-16
NZ v Ire 23-15
Oz v Wal 28-22
SA v Eng 30-15
Arg v Ita 28-12

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Post by rodders Mon 04 Jun 2012, 4:47 pm

biltongbek wrote:
viewtothegym wrote:Week 1
Southern hemisphere = a lot of points
Northern hemisphere = a fair few points

Week 2
Southern hemisphere = a ridiculous amount of points
Northern hemisphere = wheels fall off

Week 3
Southern hemisphere = really showing off now
Northern hemisphere =what the hell happened? It's the wage cap / lack of intensity in our leagues /every excuse under sun.

I honestly can't see any NH team causing an upset, we are still a good five+ years behind the SH in every facet of the game.

I put a lot of points into the spreadsheet. Although it came back with "It does not compute", it did say "sorry about your mood".

Laugh laughing
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Post by GunsGerms Wed 06 Jun 2012, 12:49 pm

All NH teams to win

Scotland 9 Aus 6
Ireland 17 NZ 15
England 28 SA 19
Wales 25 Aus 15

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Post by mystiroakey Wed 06 Jun 2012, 1:03 pm

your going for 9-6 to scotland.

Surely that wouldnt even be possible in a hollywood film. Your a brave man Summer Tours competition - Predictions. GET YOUR WEEK THREE PREDICTIONS IN!!! - Page 2 3497602689

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Post by Chjw131 Wed 06 Jun 2012, 2:16 pm

Excepting the Scotland result my predictions for Week 1 are:

New Zealand v Ireland : 33 - 10

Australia v Wales : 32 - 28

South Africa v England : 21 - 18

Argentina v Italy : 14 - 9

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Post by GunsGerms Wed 06 Jun 2012, 8:15 pm

Looking at the SA line up I really think England have a real chance in this one. If they play as they did in the 6 nations they should win if they play as the did at WC they will be stuffed. Their heads seem to be in the right place now.

Eng to win.

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Post by clivemcl Thu 07 Jun 2012, 11:09 am

Oops, missed the scotland match, but ah well!

New Zealand vs Ireland 33-21
Australia vs Wales 22-17
SA vs England 21 - 28
Argentina vs Italy 26-17

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Post by wales606 Thu 07 Jun 2012, 1:35 pm

I missed the Scotland game Shocked

New Zealand vs Ireland - 30 - 12
Australia vs Wales - 18 - 23
SA vs England - 20 - 15
Argentina vs Italy - 19 - 12
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Post by R!skysports Fri 08 Jun 2012, 10:44 am

Week one predictions.
Australia vs Scotland- 6-9
New Zealand vs Ireland 25- 15
Australia vs Wales 22-20
SA vs England 30-15
Argentina vs Italy 21-12

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Post by OzT Fri 08 Jun 2012, 10:51 am

Week one
New Zealand vs Ireland 36- 16
Australia vs Wales 29-20
SA vs England 30-19
Argentina vs Italy 21-9

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Post by wales606 Fri 08 Jun 2012, 11:55 am

Riskysports wrote:Week one predictions.
Australia vs Scotland- 6-9
New Zealand vs Ireland 25- 15
Australia vs Wales 22-20
SA vs England 30-15
Argentina vs Italy 21-12

Hmmmm...sneaky
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Post by R!skysports Fri 08 Jun 2012, 12:16 pm

wales606 wrote:
Riskysports wrote:Week one predictions.
Australia vs Scotland- 6-9
New Zealand vs Ireland 25- 15
Australia vs Wales 22-20
SA vs England 30-15
Argentina vs Italy 21-12

Hmmmm...sneaky

I have no idea what you mean! angel I am innocent m'lord censored

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Post by wales606 Fri 08 Jun 2012, 12:35 pm

Riskysports wrote:
wales606 wrote:
Riskysports wrote:Week one predictions.
Australia vs Scotland- 6-9
New Zealand vs Ireland 25- 15
Australia vs Wales 22-20
SA vs England 30-15
Argentina vs Italy 21-12

Hmmmm...sneaky

I have no idea what you mean! angel I am innocent m'lord censored

I bet you hadn't even heard the result of the Scotland game, you have been in your basement with your fingers in your ears humming to yourself right?
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Post by R!skysports Fri 08 Jun 2012, 1:44 pm

They have already player? Oh how did I miss that Whistle

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Post by WWosprey Fri 08 Jun 2012, 10:00 pm

Australia v scotland we allready know
NZ V ireland 38-24
Aus v Wales 18-32
SA v England 15-18
Argentina v Italy 21-15

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Post by Biltong Sat 09 Jun 2012, 10:18 pm

OP updated with week 1 results, only two posters have predicted all 5 wins correctly.

Well done RDW and Tattiescones. thumbsup
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Post by Zander Sat 09 Jun 2012, 10:25 pm

Oh dear, its not going well for me! Doh Hopefully next week though ... Whistle

Biltong, I just thought I'd say, I feel this topic really adds something to these summer tours and keep up the good work I'm guessing it takes a lot of work to work out everyone's totals. clap guinness

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Post by Biltong Sat 09 Jun 2012, 10:30 pm

I reckon it is worth the effort Zander, cheers mate.
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Post by rodders Sat 09 Jun 2012, 11:17 pm

Doh bad week for me.... Cry
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Post by wales606 Sat 09 Jun 2012, 11:33 pm

Two Scots at the top of the table.

Bit of national bias paying off this week for the Scots.

Just say the Argentina result - looks like they are improving a lot, their second string beat a mainly first choice Italy.
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Post by Tattie Scones RRN Sun 10 Jun 2012, 11:10 am

wales606 wrote:Two Scots at the top of the table.

Bit of national bias paying off this week for the Scots.

Just say the Argentina result - looks like they are improving a lot, their second string beat a mainly first choice Italy.

Aye but our National bias was justified.

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Post by Biltong Sun 10 Jun 2012, 12:56 pm

Summer Tours competition - Predictions. GET YOUR WEEK THREE PREDICTIONS IN!!! - Page 2 Smiley-laughing025
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Post by wales606 Sun 10 Jun 2012, 1:21 pm

notworthy
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Post by mystiroakey Sun 10 Jun 2012, 3:51 pm

how can peops be above me and they didnt even pick a game??

not sure about your scoring system there bud

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Post by Biltong Sun 10 Jun 2012, 4:05 pm

who didnt pick a game?
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Post by mystiroakey Sun 10 Jun 2012, 4:08 pm

erm people in late for scotland. most of us picked that wrong(as was expected- but could be in a worse place by actually picking it so wrong.. if you get my point

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Post by Pete C (Kiwireddevil) Sun 10 Jun 2012, 4:12 pm

mystiroakey wrote:erm people in late for scotland. most of us picked that wrong(as was expected- but could be in a worse place by actually picking it so wrong.. if you get my point

The people in late for scotland effectively got given a pick of Australia (as losing team) by 50 points - pretty sure no-one actually picked a margin that extreme.
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Post by Biltong Sun 10 Jun 2012, 4:12 pm

Yes, but remember if you pick only 4 games but you pick all 4 winners correctly you get 4 match points, then the points difference comes into play, now you only picked 2 correct winners, which mean you are behind anyone who picked more than two winner correctly.

Those that didn't pick scotland match got penalised by 50 points and didn't get a win point.
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