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RWC 2015 - Its the Cloud and not Cloud 9

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Post by No9 Thu Sep 24, 2015 2:03 pm

After extensive computer modelling, using some of the worlds most powerful computing power replaying scenarios over and over on the Cloud, the RWC forecast is now ready ...

The computer model has taken all games from the 20 competing nations since the last RWC and analysed them, applying algorithms for player rotation, injuries, change of coaching, management style, home and away factors, etc.. Its even used weightings for weather conditions.

The end result is the following predictions, for this RWC.

Pool A Pts For Against
England 15 144 69
Wales 15 143 84
Australia 14 150 72
Fiji 4 72 118
Uruguay 0 41 207

Pool B Pts For Against
South Africa 15 126 80
Samoa 12 75 71
Scotland 10 115 87
Japan 6 74 113
USA 5 69 108

Pool C Pts For Against
New Zealand 19 258 31
Argentina 13 110 80
Georgia 8 60 152
Tonga 5 59 111
Namibia 1 42 155

Pool D Pts For Against
France 17 124 59
Ireland 15 158 56
Italy 8 75 89
Canada 5 60 102
Romania 0 26 137

Qtr Finals
South Africa 27 - 29 Wales
New Zealand 32 - 25 Ireland
France 28 - 30 Argentina
England 32 - 22 Samoa

Semi Finals
Wales 26 - 24 New Zealand
Argentina 22 - 25 England

3rd-4th Play off
New Zealand 45 - 20 Argentina

Final
Wales 32 - 30 England


So there it is.. You cant argue with such advanced computer modelling.. Looks like the final will be between England and Wales, with Wales being victorious....

YahooYahooYahooYahooYahooYahooYahooYahooYahooYahooYahooYahooYahooYahooYahooYahooYahoo

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Post by Jimpy Thu Sep 24, 2015 2:26 pm

It all looked feasible until the computer suggested Wales would beat NZ in a semi-final.

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Post by rodders Thu Sep 24, 2015 2:34 pm

The modelling software must have been designed in Swansea and developed in Bangalore to come up with that.
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Post by Duty281 Thu Sep 24, 2015 4:53 pm

Laugh Wales beating South Africa and New Zealand in consecutive games?!

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Post by mikey_dragon Thu Sep 24, 2015 5:25 pm

Duty281 wrote:Laugh Wales beating South Africa and New Zealand in consecutive games?!

Why not? Just about anyone can beat South Africa these days (apart from England Very Happy). So that's 50% of the job done.

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Post by maestegmafia Thu Sep 24, 2015 6:02 pm

Wales could have possibly beaten Australia as well in that model...

If they can beat all three SH teams they would be very worthy winners.

Unfortunately I don't think we will lose to England in the pool stages, so our route will be different but hopefully the same result.

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Post by No9 Sat Sep 26, 2015 12:23 am

Hey guys I think this computer model may have something you know... I based my predictions on that model and not doing too bad so far...

sportform wrote:offload leads after the first series of games at the Rugby World Cup courtesy of calling the New Zealand 26-16 Argentina game correct. chris_501 also called that game correct while No9 had the France 32-10 Italy game spot on. Still 40 games to go through and plenty of more tougher games to call.

Overall Leaderboard
1 offload 243 pts
2 chris_501 238 pts
3 No9 223 pts
4 bedfordwelsh 200 pts
5 maestegmafia 199 pts
6 LondonTiger 197 pts
7= GavinDragon 196 pts
7= flyhalffactory 196 pts
9= screamingaddabs 193 pts
9= Breadvan 193 pts
11= rainbow-warrior 191 pts
11= alive555 191 pts
13= InjuredYetAgain 189 pts
13= BamBam 189 pts
13= hugehandoff 189 pts
16= RDW-Scotland 188 pts
16= QuickBall 188 pts
16= Ineffable 188 pts
16= LordDowlais 188 pts
20 Weegie Wizard 187 pts
21 SecretFly 185 pts
22= eirebilly 183 pts
22= Beshocked 183 pts
22= whocares 183 pts
25 demosthenes 182 pts
26 TattieSconesRRN 180 pts
27 stub 179 pts
28= NeilyBroon 178 pts
28= Exiledinborders 178 pts
30= GunGerms 177 pts
30= tigertattie 177 pts
32= TightHEAD 176 pts
32= RubyGuby 176 pts
34= Bathman_in_London 175 pts
34= The Loaded Dog 175 pts
34= Majestic83 175 pts
37 bsando 173 pts
38 Biltong 172 pts
39 Otagolad 171 pts
40 sportform 168 pts
41 BMBiker 167 pts
42 donglewood 166 pts
43= Wi11 161 pts
43= nobbled 161 pts
45 Gwlad 150 pts
46 Duty281 147 pts
47 rodders 128 pts


also so far from "this round" my predictions being...

No9 wrote:Pool A
Australia 28 - 15 Fiji - Only 2 points out
England 23 - 26 Wales - Right result, correct score difference
Australia 67 - 3 Uruguay - Only 2 points out

Pool B
Scotland 28 - 18 Japan
South Africa 22 - 10 Samoa
Scotland 28 - 23 USA


Pool C
New Zealand 89 - 3 Namibia
Argentina 38 - 22 Georgia
Tonga 20 - 12 Namibia

Pool D
France 38 - 9 Romania - Again only 2 out
Italy 23 - 20 Canada - Another just 2 points out
Ireland 57 - 3 Romania

Yahoo

So anyone change their mind... The Computer says YES!!! Yahoo

I reckon this computer model isn't that far wrong.. Lets hope the results going forward are correct, because at least its showing England progressing.. Whistle

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Post by No9 Sun Sep 27, 2015 10:13 pm

England still have hope according to the computer...

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Post by SecretFly Sun Sep 27, 2015 11:19 pm

I think your bloody computer algorithm should do the voting and that we ban you from the competition, No9. Wink Let's see how the kid does on his own without the talking chaperone.

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Post by No9 Mon Sep 28, 2015 12:58 am

SecretFly wrote:I think your bloody computer algorithm should do the voting and that we ban you from the competition, No9. Wink Let's see how the kid does on his own without the talking chaperone.

Whistle Very Happy

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