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Chinese GP Thread - Contain Spoilers of Practice/Qualifying/Race results

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Post by Fernando Wed Apr 10, 2013 8:47 pm

First topic message reminder :

Chinese GP Thread - Contain Spoilers of Practice/Qualifying/Race results - Page 3 S1_1

Three weeks after the stifling heat and humidity of Malaysia we arrive at the Shanghai International Circuit for the tenth Chinese GP.

If there's one team that's grateful for the TV-unfriendly long break between the Malaysian and Chinese Grands Prix, it must be McLaren. They more than any other team will be hoping it stays dry on Friday in Shanghai as they have a big programme of checks and balances to get through.

Rewind to a year ago and it was Mercedes who scored their first victory in China with Nico Rosberg, and back then it looked like Ross and Norbert's team had finally joined the big three. It was a promise that went unfulfilled for the rest of the season, as they reversed backwards past Lotus and almost into the clutches of Force India and Sauber.

With Lewis Hamilton outqualifying Nico Rosberg for two races in a row this year, Mercedes now have the driver boost that Michael Schumacher couldn't give them. In the past Michael was always the F1 pin-up boy when F1 came to China, the most recognisable face in the sport. Now, there are many more drivers known and loved by the Chinese F1 fans (who touchingly have a great reverence for David Coulthard and Eddie Jordan, as the BBC are the broadcasters picked up by Chinese television. There were some great moments on the BBC forum after last year's race, and it's worth catching online if you can.)

Unlike the fast switchbacks of Sepang, Shanghai has almost no high speed corners and features predominantly low-speed ones with a smattering of medium turns. Some of Hermann Tilke's lower speed corners have an extended radius, with tightening arcs. Lotus Technical Director James Allison is well aware of the challenge this poses. "It's quite a stern test for the tyres, as you have a significant excess of torque over grip making it very easy to wreck a set of rear tyres rather quickly. It's generally quite cool in Shanghai as well - unseasonably so last year - meaning that graining will be an issue once again; particularly given the smoothness of the asphalt which is comparable to that of Melbourne."

Sounds like a Lotus kind of race, then. Last year the team tried to go through the race with one stop fewer than the pack and Kimi Raikkonen fell spectacularly off the cliff as his front tyres gave up and he dropped around eight places on a single lap. Romain Grosjean is kinder to his fronts than Kimi, so that should be a battle to watch.

Brakes are also a premium at the Shanghai circuit with the interminable back straight and the big stop into a hairpin that will also create tyre wear through inevitable flatspots. Though it's unlikely that we'll see a Toro Rosso detach its wheels under braking as elegantly as Sebastian Buemi managed (a la James Bond).

Pirelli will be bringing Medium and Soft tyres to the race and motorsport director Paul Hembery, has been keen to emphasise in his pre-race quotes that the top teams will learn how to manage the increased degradation of 2013.

"China has often produced some of the best races of the year, where strategy has been at the forefront of the action. Shanghai is less aggressive on the tyres than the last round in Malaysia but we would expect to see the majority of competitors go for three stops although some may try two."

In the past there have been showers and mixed conditions in Shanghai, but this weekend the forecast is for relatively cool conditions but dry on all three days.

With the emphasis on tyre wear there will be a familiar chorus of disapproval from some quarters, most likely Red Bull, but not Force India. Providing they can get the wheelnuts off their cars during pit-stops the Silverstone-based team should be looking at another strong race, well aware they gave up a big haul of points in Malaysia.

Felipe Massa has a great personal target to aim for. Not only is he leading Fernando Alonso in the Drivers' table, he has outqualified his team-mate four races in a row. Nobody has done that to Fernando five times in a row. Having lost out through a self-inflicted wound at Sepang, Alonso will be very keen not to drop further behind Massa and the rest of the grid in China, so it may be that we see a conservative approach from him

Two things we haven't seen so far in 2013 are the Safety Car and Bernie Ecclestone - with a lot of behind-the-scenes machinations about the commercial agreements governing F1, it's a surprise that Bernie hasn't been more visible. There are a lot of loose ends to be tied up in connection with 2013, let alone 2014 and beyond. And with two rainy weekends, it's surprising we haven't had a Safety Car either.

What we should also look out for is the length of time that a Soft compound tyre can last on fullish tanks. Because if the race does prove to be like a re-run of Melbourne there may be a few cars playing it tactically in Qualifying. We might get cars making a token run in Q3 on the harder Medium tyre - not putting much of a heat cycle through it to establish a position around rows 4 or 5, slightly above somebody who doesn't bother to come out at all in Q3.

And finally, although there have been a few news stories run - one of the better aspects of this year's Chinese GP is that it won't be overshadowed by what is happening on the following weekend, in Bahrain.

Weather Forecast: http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/1796236 ( No Rain as of 14:45 GMT)
Source:MSN.co.uk

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Post by omar22 Thu Apr 18, 2013 9:28 pm

What I don’t understand here is that people are saying that Lewis is hard on his tyres, I thought that myth has been buried last year when stats proved that Lewis managed his tyres better than Button last season and also did more laps on each tyres than button. In Spain Lewis did TWO STOPs which wasn’t unheard off in the last 5 seasons, in Hungary the McLaren pit crew said Lewis brought the car home despite the fact that they ran out of idea and Button did a 3 stop and Lewis did a 2 stop and still managed to keep Kimi behind for more than 10 laps. Compared that to Alonso who tried to do a 2 stop in Canada! He dropped like a stone even Vettel caught up with him after pitting behind him the previous 2 laps!

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Post by mystiroakey Thu Apr 18, 2013 9:34 pm

i dont get it either omar.. But there you go

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Post by dummy_half Thu Apr 18, 2013 11:15 pm

Omar

In an 'average' Hamilton performance, he probably is a little harder on his tyres than the other top drivers, although I think the difference has been hugely exagerated. Over the last season and this, I think the difference in tyre wear has had much more to do with car setup (particularly regarding how well it is set up to manage the weather conditions) than it is driving style. At the moment I'd say it's 90% setup and 10% driver that dictates tyre life.

As for last week's race, Lewis didn't lose because of tyre longevity or strategy, simply Alonso had a car that was pretty much in the sweet spot for setup and no-one could match his pace. Losing out to Raikkonen for second was probably a little disappointing, but there was nothing between them at any point in the race, and the Lotus probably has slightly better high fuel performance and wasn't notably worse than the Merc at the end of the race.

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Post by mystiroakey Thu Apr 18, 2013 11:24 pm

he is only harder because he pushes more that the other top drivers

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Post by dyrewolfe Fri Apr 19, 2013 7:43 pm

mystiroakey wrote:he is only harder because he pushes more that the other top drivers

You have to wonder why though. Okay, the Mercedes is harder on its tyres than some other cars, but the McLarens he drove generally weren't tyre-eaters.

After all Alonso and Raikkonen are also very quick but tend to look after their tyres better.

You could also argue Vettel is just as quick, if not quicker, while also looking after his tyres better...though I think thats at least partly down to Newey's genius. That said, this season's tyres seem to have negated that, to an extent.
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