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Ireland's November Series and Beyond...

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How will Ireland do in the Autumn Internationals?

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Post by RugbyFan182 Wed 16 Oct 2013, 1:31 am

First topic message reminder :

Right boys, I want you give realistic guess of how Ireland will do in the November tests. I want you to separate your hearts from your heads. How do you predict Ireland will do and how will this set them up for the Six nations based on your poll prediction for the Autumn tests.

Do you believe in Schmidt? Do you believe he is the catalyst for consistent success or will we yet again disappoint by firing hot and cold like recent championships have dictated. Is there cause for quite confidence or should we be holding are cards close to our chest.

Feel free to throw out your wildest aspirations on the table or to throw caution to the wind.

The rest is up to you....


Sat 9th Ireland vs Samoa - Autumn
Sat 16th Ireland vs Australia - Autumn
Sun 24th Ireland vs New Zealand


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Post by LeinsterFan4life Wed 06 Nov 2013, 4:27 pm

Its not completely dead in the water. There is no way all the privinces would be allowed sign TH's for example.

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Post by Submachine Wed 06 Nov 2013, 4:28 pm

I'd like to see Marshall get in for all 3 this autumn. I know the Ulster support are raving about Olding but I think Marshall has everything. Might need to be fitted for a spongey hat though.

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Post by Submachine Wed 06 Nov 2013, 4:42 pm

Actually scrap that. I want to see a new face in at 12. What about gordon Darcy's drumroll 

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Post by rodders Wed 06 Nov 2013, 4:47 pm

Personally I'd pick Olding at 13 ahead of O'Driscoll.

You wouldn't catch his legs going with 15 minutes to go.....
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Post by Notch Wed 06 Nov 2013, 10:01 pm

Found this when I was looking on joe.ie

Samoa beating Wales last year; http://www.joe.ie/rugby/international-rugby/video-there-were-some-brilliant-tries-scored-in-cardiff-last-night/

No complacency in the camp, I'm sure.
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Post by LeinsterFan4life Wed 06 Nov 2013, 10:31 pm

Imagine how good Samoa would be at home.

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Post by Notch Wed 06 Nov 2013, 10:39 pm

LeinsterFan4life wrote:Imagine how good Samoa would be at home.
Imagine how good Samoa would be if guys like John Afoa, Nick Williams, Sonny Bill Williams, Ma'a Nonu, Manu Tuilagi, Jerome Kaino etc. had opted to play for Samoa!
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Post by geoff999rugby Wed 06 Nov 2013, 10:51 pm

LeinsterFan4life wrote:Its not completely dead in the water. There is no way all the privinces would be allowed sign TH's for example.
Really??

It is being rumoured, by a very relieable source, that Ulster will be allowed a NIQ TH to replace Afoa.

Anyway the original plan was only 1 player per position across the 3 senior provinces and no Province would be allowed to sign/re sign a player in the same position.

BJ Botha and Pienaer to name but two have shown that is no longer correct.

should be clear though - the more restrictive proposals re NIQ are dead in the water not the 5 maximum which we have worked under for years.
Sorry for not making that clear

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Post by Sin é Wed 06 Nov 2013, 11:04 pm

Geoff, as far as I know, Munster had to sacrifice Wian to keep BJ for 2 years. Its not exactly hire who you want yet. BJ also has a coaching role as Munster's scrum coach wasn't retained.


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Post by Notch Wed 06 Nov 2013, 11:19 pm

Interview with Eddie Wigglesworth on the NIQ rules and on developing Irish talent. Asked about Botha resigning for Munster he says "It was in contravention of our guidelines but that’s all they are, guidelines."

So that is directly from the horses mouth.

http://www.irishtimes.com/sport/rugby/international/developing-the-next-generation-key-for-the-irfu-1.1585669

Got to say he seems to confirm my opinion of him as a very gormless kind of fella. Bottom line is he came up with a bunch of 'big ideas' and managed to have them leak out to the public when they still should have been at the draft stage.

He still has a job, somehow. One day we'll get someone capable into that role like David Humphreys but I suppose so long as Wigglesworth doesn't f up too badly in the interim we'll be alright- mainly because the Provincial Academies continue to produce very talented players, it's not much to do with him. We're alright because of the professionalism of the coaches at provincial level in bringing these guys on.

He also says "Ulster are not that strong in the propping position and they have a particular difficulty that we have to look at and consider but in the rest of the positions it has panned out." with regards to the number of tightheads allowed in the provinces, potentially indicating the door is open for us to recruit an NIQ tighthead.
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Post by profitius Thu 07 Nov 2013, 12:07 am

Wigglesworth doesn't come across as a pleasant character but I agree with what he is trying to do.


Re props. There are 11 props in the academies currently. I would hope there'll be no more need for NIQ props in 3 to 4 years time.
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Post by Sin é Thu 07 Nov 2013, 12:15 am

I sat in front of Wigglesworth at a Leinster v Munster 'A' game and I was not impressed with his chat. Total Leinster head. He seemed to ignore the Munster staff as well, which was a bit off considering his position in the IRFU as he should have been there in an official capacity.

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Post by Notch Thu 07 Nov 2013, 12:22 am

He's not very well regarded in the provinces it seems.
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Post by Mickado Thu 07 Nov 2013, 7:36 am

The indo are reporting that Heaslip will be captain.

I think we can all agree that's the right decision.

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Post by geoff999rugby Thu 07 Nov 2013, 8:01 am

Sin é wrote:Geoff, as far as I know, Munster had to sacrifice Wian to keep BJ for 2 years. Its not exactly hire who you want yet. BJ also has a coaching role as Munster's scrum coach wasn't retained.


Understood but if the original proposals were enforced they should not have been allowed to sign him a second time because there was a TH at another province and they would be signing the same player again to play in the same position.
Same applies to Pienaer

I also know for a fact Ulster will be allowed to sign a NIQ 2nd row, and if someone else, who is reliable, is to be believed a NIQ TH.
It isn't hire who you want but it is a compromise with no hard and fast rules other than a limit, per Province, in total numbers i.e. what we had before

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Post by rodders Thu 07 Nov 2013, 8:54 am

Mickado wrote:The indo are reporting that Heaslip will be captain.

I think we can all agree that's the right decision.
All agree?? Even Heaslip's mammy and daddy are up in arms about it!
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Post by geoff999rugby Thu 07 Nov 2013, 9:03 am

Mickado wrote:The indo are reporting that Heaslip will be captain.

I think we can all agree that's the right decision.
You are joking

Elsewhere being tweeted it is POC if fit otherwise BOD
I'd go with that - as mentioned earlier no one stands out so do it on a match by match basis using the old hands if selected

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Post by Mickado Thu 07 Nov 2013, 9:05 am

rodders wrote:
Mickado wrote:The indo are reporting that Heaslip will be captain.

I think we can all agree that's the right decision.
All agree?? Even Heaslip's mammy and daddy are up in arms about it!
Yes. all agree.

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Post by Mickado Thu 07 Nov 2013, 9:06 am

geoff999rugby wrote:
Mickado wrote:The indo are reporting that Heaslip will be captain.

I think we can all agree that's the right decision.
You are joking

Elsewhere being tweeted it is POC if fit otherwise BOD
I'd go with that - as mentioned earlier no one stands out so do it on a match by match basis using the old hands if selected
I'm not joking that the Indo are reporting it:

http://www.independent.ie/sport/rugby/joe-schmidt-says-poc-is-crocked-29733609.html

I'm not saying it's true though.

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Post by geoff999rugby Thu 07 Nov 2013, 9:08 am

I realise that but you are joking we all agree

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Post by rodders Thu 07 Nov 2013, 9:10 am

I see the Ulster quota is still 3 starters and a sub then.
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Post by Standulstermen Thu 07 Nov 2013, 9:16 am

Gerrys team is different but again Heaslip seems to be captain. D'arcy and Jackson at 10/12. Henry at 7 with O'Brien and POC on the bench.

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Post by Mickado Thu 07 Nov 2013, 9:18 am

Standulstermen wrote:Gerrys team is different but again Heaslip seems to be captain. D'arcy and Jackson at 10/12. Henry at 7 with O'Brien and POC on the bench.
GT's relationship with Schmidt is not as cosy as it was with Dekkie. Assuredly.

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Post by rodders Thu 07 Nov 2013, 9:21 am

Mickado wrote:
Standulstermen wrote:Gerrys team is different but again Heaslip seems to be captain. D'arcy and Jackson at 10/12. Henry at 7 with O'Brien and POC on the bench.
GT's relationship with Schmidt is not as cosy as it was with Dekkie. Assuredly.
Joe knows what side his bread is buttered on.
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Post by Standulstermen Thu 07 Nov 2013, 9:26 am

I think thornley admitted himself he has no insider info. Between the IT and the indo though there are agreement between the captain, D'arcy, Jackson as the interesting calls.

Quick question but has mike McCarthy been going well this season. I thought his form wasn't great but he seems to be ahead of Tuohy who has been tearing up trees

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Post by Notch Thu 07 Nov 2013, 9:46 am

It would be sickening if Luke Marshall and Dan Tuohy aren't involved. Both the Independent and the Irish Times reporting Gordon D'Arcy at 12, no Tuohy.

It's like Gatland and Jon Davies all over again. A coach sticking to who he knows over who deserves it. Fingers crossed this ain't so!
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Post by geoff999rugby Thu 07 Nov 2013, 9:52 am

If Tuohy is not included significantly this Autumn it sends a terrible message - form means nothing

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Post by rodders Thu 07 Nov 2013, 9:54 am

Standulstermen wrote:
Quick question but has mike McCarthy been going well this season. I thought his form wasn't great but he seems to be ahead of Tuohy who has been tearing up trees
From what I've seen there's no contest - McCarthy has been solid nothing more.

Touhy is better at the basics - scrum, lineout - is a better carrier, more powerful, has far better hands, dynamism and pace. Only area I'd rate McCarthy higher is doing the donkey work at the ruck... oh Donal Lenihan likes him so....
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Post by Standulstermen Thu 07 Nov 2013, 9:55 am

I wouldn't be worrying about it just yet. Both those lads have played a significant amount of gametime and I would hope/expect to see at least Marshall heavily involved in the last two tests. If Joe does go for D'arcy over Marshall in the later tests I would be massively disappointed

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Post by Notch Thu 07 Nov 2013, 9:59 am

It's just crazy. We've been screaming out for some fresh blood at 12 since the 2007 RWC- last time our backline looked half-decent was the Six Nations before that. Surely the time to bed in a new 12 is when O'Driscoll is still around outside him. The Marshall/BOD partnership went well in the Six Nations, one of the very few positives...

As for Tuohy, he's just a better player than McCarthy or Toner- he's also in better form.
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Post by Standulstermen Thu 07 Nov 2013, 10:03 am

Whilst I agree notch I do think we will see the two guys mentioned. I cannot believe a coach as astute as Schmidt would have D'arcy as his first choice.

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Post by pete (buachaill on eirne) Thu 07 Nov 2013, 10:16 am

as long as marshall and tuohy end up starting the last two tests i'll be ok with it, if they don't i'd be upset and would consider it an opportunity lost

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Post by Mickado Thu 07 Nov 2013, 10:26 am

Notch wrote:It would be sickening if Luke Marshall and Dan Tuohy aren't involved. Both the Independent and the Irish Times reporting Gordon D'Arcy at 12, no Tuohy.

It's like Gatland and Jon Davies all over again. A coach sticking to who he knows over who deserves it. Fingers crossed this ain't so!
It's not at all, first test of a coaches new job versus last test of a 10 game series.

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Post by Jenifer McLadyboy Thu 07 Nov 2013, 10:30 am

Lads. This is three tests against sides ranked above us. There will be minimal if any "development"

We are out to win these games. Darce still offers a serious amount. I'd say he will get the nod in all three as he knows what he is doing between Sexton and Drico. Marshall is the coming man. Darce will be trying to hold him off until WC 2015. That's the way it should be. Marshall will have to do a lot to shift him. I hope he does, because if he doesn't it is not great for Ireland.

If Marshall is getting a go it will be this week.

McCarthy and Tuohy is a tight call. Would be happy either way tbh.

Toner does not come into the McCarthy/Tuohy argument. He is there to run the lineout with POC not starting. (if the team is accurate)

It was always going to be him POC and one of McCarthy/Tuohy.

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Post by Jenifer McLadyboy Thu 07 Nov 2013, 10:31 am

Standulstermen wrote:Whilst I agree notch I do think we will see the two guys mentioned. I cannot believe a coach as astute as Schmidt would have D'arcy as his first choice.
You said it yourself. He knows the score a lot better than you and me buddy. If he goes with Marshall I will take that as the best choice. Not sure he will though.

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Post by Jenifer McLadyboy Thu 07 Nov 2013, 10:33 am

Mickado wrote:
Notch wrote:It would be sickening if Luke Marshall and Dan Tuohy aren't involved. Both the Independent and the Irish Times reporting Gordon D'Arcy at 12, no Tuohy.

It's like Gatland and Jon Davies all over again. A coach sticking to who he knows over who deserves it. Fingers crossed this ain't so!
It's not at all, first test of a coaches new job versus last test of a 10 game series.
Don't drag up that old sh1te. Nothing like the same situation at all for a start. Tight calls on those players. Nothing "sickening" about it.

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Post by geoff999rugby Thu 07 Nov 2013, 10:42 am

Jenifer McLadyboy wrote:Lads. This is three tests against sides ranked above us. There will be minimal if any "development"

We are out to win these games. Darce still offers a serious amount. I'd say he will get the nod in all three as he knows what he is doing between Sexton and Drico. Marshall is the coming man. Darce will be trying to hold him off until WC 2015. That's the way it should be. Marshall will have to do a lot to shift him. I hope he does, because if he doesn't it is not great for Ireland.

If Marshall is getting a go it will be this week.

McCarthy and Tuohy is a tight call. Would be happy either way tbh.

Toner does not come into the McCarthy/Tuohy argument. He is there to run the lineout with POC not starting. (if the team is accurate)

It was always going to be him POC and one of McCarthy/Tuohy.
You have to bring player on some time

Marshall is the obvious replacement for D'Arcy he needs playing NOW
We could go into next year with no one having any significant experience in the centre that is madness

McCarthy/Tuohy is not a tight call - if form means anything. Tuohy is playing the best rugby of his life
Anyone is rumours are correct Toner not Tuohy is on standby for POC -  that is complete and utter madness.
Toner should be nowhere near Samoa - completely the wrong player

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Post by Jenifer McLadyboy Thu 07 Nov 2013, 10:47 am

geoff999rugby wrote:
Jenifer McLadyboy wrote:Lads. This is three tests against sides ranked above us. There will be minimal if any "development"

We are out to win these games. Darce still offers a serious amount. I'd say he will get the nod in all three as he knows what he is doing between Sexton and Drico. Marshall is the coming man. Darce will be trying to hold him off until WC 2015. That's the way it should be. Marshall will have to do a lot to shift him. I hope he does, because if he doesn't it is not great for Ireland.

If Marshall is getting a go it will be this week.

McCarthy and Tuohy is a tight call. Would be happy either way tbh.

Toner does not come into the McCarthy/Tuohy argument. He is there to run the lineout with POC not starting. (if the team is accurate)

It was always going to be him POC and one of McCarthy/Tuohy.
You have to bring player on some time

Marshall is the obvious replacement for D'Arcy he needs playing NOW
We could go into next year with no one having any significant experience in the centre that is madness

McCarthy/Tuohy is not a tight call - if form means anything. Tuohy is playing the best rugby of his life
Anyone is rumours are correct Toner not Tuohy is on standby for POC -  that is complete and utter madness.
Toner should be nowhere near Samoa - completely the wrong player
You have obviously not been watching Toner. He is well able for this. He played against the ABs 3 years ago and has improved steadily since then.

No international side is going to play Tuohy and McCarthy together. They are too similar. One of them has to miss out. Toner and POC for the last 20 minutes would be better than Tuohy and McCarthy.

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Post by Notch Thu 07 Nov 2013, 10:52 am

Hmm, it is quite similar though. There's maybe a better option out there but the coach goes with a combination he knows from a team he coaches prior to getting this job- not ringing any bells? He knows the player so rightly or wrongly he sticks with what he knows because the stakes are very high.


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Post by marty2086 Thu 07 Nov 2013, 10:53 am

Jenifer McLadyboy wrote:Lads.
We are out to win these games. Darce still offers a serious amount. I'd say he will get the nod in all three as he knows what he is doing between Sexton and Drico. Marshall is the coming man. Darce will be trying to hold him off until WC 2015. That's the way it should be. Marshall will have to do a lot to shift him. I hope he does, because if he doesn't it is not great for Ireland.

D'Arcy has been between them for the last few years and offered nothing at international level since '09, he's a spent force, he just doesn't seem comfortable there at times and doesn't have the same confidence and fluidity that he doesn't when in the blue of Leinster

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Post by Jenifer McLadyboy Thu 07 Nov 2013, 10:56 am

Notch wrote:Hmm, it is quite similar. There's maybe a better option out there but the coach goes with a combination he knows from a team he coaches prior to getting this job- not ringing any bells? He knows the player so rightly or wrongly he sticks with what he knows because the stakes are very high.
I disagree. I think that Darce fits the team (with Sexton and Drico) than Marshall does. He also is waaaay more comfortable wit the "Joe Show"

If it was Paddy Jackson (which it may be for this game but not the other 2) and Darren Cave starting then Marshall may be the logical choice.

Which is why I think that if Marshall was to get a run it will be this week.

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Post by Notch Thu 07 Nov 2013, 10:56 am

Yeah, D'Arcy hasn't offered anything for a number of years. He's a guy who is just... fine. Doesn't offer any linebreaks any more, doesn't really make yards in contact, doesn't really create opportunities for other players.

He's just... fine. Nothing special. He makes no big contribution. He's just a solid player, nothing special. It's not like he's "holding Marshall off". He just fills a shirt and thats all he's been doing for a number of years.
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Post by Notch Thu 07 Nov 2013, 10:59 am

Well, if Paddy Jackson does start this week- it doesn't make any sense to have D'Arcy outside him. Thats just bizarre.
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Post by Jenifer McLadyboy Thu 07 Nov 2013, 11:00 am

marty2086 wrote:
Jenifer McLadyboy wrote:Lads.
We are out to win these games. Darce still offers a serious amount. I'd say he will get the nod in all three as he knows what he is doing between Sexton and Drico. Marshall is the coming man. Darce will be trying to hold him off until WC 2015. That's the way it should be. Marshall will have to do a lot to shift him. I hope he does, because if he doesn't it is not great for Ireland.

D'Arcy has been between them for the last few years and offered nothing at international level since '09, he's a spent force, he just doesn't seem comfortable there at times and doesn't have the same confidence and fluidity that he doesn't when in the blue of Leinster
Seems like Joe Schmidt MAY not agree there.

A bit like people saying Heaslip was playing badly when he changed his game from "doing the flashy carrying stuff" to getting stuck in with the "Unseen work" ™ DOC.

Darce still makes yards in contact despite not looking like "Flash Gordon" of old. Massive in defence too.

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Post by Jenifer McLadyboy Thu 07 Nov 2013, 11:03 am

Notch wrote:Well, if Paddy Jackson does start this week- it doesn't make any sense to have D'Arcy outside him. Thats just bizarre.
Probably agree there. Would be good to see the 2 of them together. Bizarre is a touch strong though. Still Darce and Drico there with their "telepathic understanding" to take down big Samoan feckers.

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Post by Sin é Thu 07 Nov 2013, 11:03 am

I'd imagine it is down to provincial partnerships at this stage. Toner is used to playing with McCarthy.

The international season will be built around giving Brian O'Driscoll a send-off (mostly to do with his ability to fill the Aviva than anything else). BOD likes playing with D'Arcy and Schmidt likes D'Arcy with BOD, so I think we will see a lot of them featuring together in BOD's last season. Marshall will get his chance next year when he will have another full year under his belt, perhaps playing alongside Jared Payne.

I don't think its surprising that the team is Leinstercentric - it only means that the Leinster players have a headstart with getting used to the coach and what he wants.

As for Heislip as captain - crickey, Schmidt preferred Leo & Jennings on their last legs at Leinster to Heaslip - it doesn't say a lot for the leadership qualities of our international players.


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Post by Notch Thu 07 Nov 2013, 11:22 am

I actually think other players would complement BOD better- someone who has more gainline succes that he can run off the shoulder of. I honestly think D'Arcy-BOD isn't that great a combination for province or country and hasn't been for a long, long time. Just because Leinster haven't managed to produce a better centre than D'Arcy doesn't mean we have to put the blinkers on.
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Post by Jenifer McLadyboy Thu 07 Nov 2013, 11:23 am

Hate him so much you can't be arsed spelling his name right eh? Smile

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Post by Standulstermen Thu 07 Nov 2013, 11:29 am

Have to disagree Jen. Sticking with tried and trusted was exactly the reason the last coach got serious stick. Introducing both Mike Ross and O'Brien long after he should have as well as Donnacha Ryan.

If Joe goes down that route then he is repeating mistakes. As for who we are playing it doesn't make the blindest bit of difference. We have a 22 year old who is playing better rugby than a 30+ yr old in the same position. That's a no brainer and exposing these young guys to the likes of Australia and new Zealand is the only way they develop the experience that guys like D'arcy are lauded for.

If we consider that the IRFU do not like tinkering in the 6N then we a going into next summers tour replacing both centres a year out from the RWC. That doesn't bear thinking about. If Marshall were in poor form I could understand but the younger, better alternative is there and I think Joe will use it.

I would say I don't mind starting D'arcy outside Jackson though as its more important to get Marshall and Sexton gametime together and I think asking any player to start all three games is a stretch ( especially if they have played as much as Marshall )

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Post by geoff999rugby Thu 07 Nov 2013, 11:31 am

Toner has improved but he is not, inspite of his size, a physically powerhouse - I just think the Samoans will blow him away

Good post Stand

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