Brexit
+32
Fernando
dyrewolfe
MrInvisible
TwisT
superflyweight
BamBam
TRUSSMAN66
Trebs
alfie
Tattie Scones RRN
Steffan
Afro
GSC
Dolphin Ziggler
Duty281
maestegmafia
Samo
Shifty
Pal Joey
aucklandlaurie
CaledonianCraig
SecretFly
It Must Be Love
Pr4wn
No name Bertie
Soul Requiem
navyblueshorts
lostinwales
Galted
rodders
Luckless Pedestrian
JuliusHMarx
36 posters
Page 18 of 20
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Brexit
First topic message reminder :
Tea anyone?
Tea anyone?
JuliusHMarx- julius
- Posts : 22613
Join date : 2011-07-01
Location : Paisley Park
Re: Brexit
Duty281 wrote:The Tories slide down the polls, and the Brexit Party’s incline, is set to begin.
Johnson's team has been clever.......Spun gullible folk into thinking it's not his fault the extension and he has a willing MSM ready to churn out bollox for him....The young Lady from the BBC being a case in point....She ought to be on the Conservative payroll..
Won't be a Farage revival.....He has been outflanked.
TRUSSMAN66- Posts : 40688
Join date : 2011-02-02
Re: Brexit
I thought that, according to the Fixed Term Parliament Act, Britain had given a mandate to the current Government until 2021. Strange that we're being forced to vote again on this when it suits the Tories, but that a confirmatory referendum on a Brexit deal that will make Britain significantly poorer is "undemocratic".
Pr4wn- Moderator
- Posts : 5797
Join date : 2011-03-09
Location : Vancouver
Re: Brexit
CaledonianCraig wrote:
As I see it an early December election makes sense for several reasons. It will allow voters to voice their opinion on the Brexit situation so would be a sort of People's Referendum.
They're just not the same thing. My folks voted Remain, they are also Tories, they aren't going to swing away from years of that because of one issue.
Dolphin Ziggler- Dolphin
- Posts : 24117
Join date : 2012-03-01
Age : 35
Location : Making the Kessel Run
Re: Brexit
Dolphin Ziggler wrote:CaledonianCraig wrote:
As I see it an early December election makes sense for several reasons. It will allow voters to voice their opinion on the Brexit situation so would be a sort of People's Referendum.
They're just not the same thing. My folks voted Remain, they are also Tories, they aren't going to swing away from years of that because of one issue.
Of course there will be die-hards who will stick with their party come what may. However, rumour has it that as many as 50% of the UK electorate just now are undecided voters or floaters such is the confusion and chaos caused by Brexit.
CaledonianCraig- Posts : 20601
Join date : 2011-05-31
Age : 56
Location : Edinburgh
Re: Brexit
That rumour is definitely not being represented in polling
Dolphin Ziggler- Dolphin
- Posts : 24117
Join date : 2012-03-01
Age : 35
Location : Making the Kessel Run
Re: Brexit
CaledonianCraig wrote:Dolphin Ziggler wrote:CaledonianCraig wrote:
As I see it an early December election makes sense for several reasons. It will allow voters to voice their opinion on the Brexit situation so would be a sort of People's Referendum.
They're just not the same thing. My folks voted Remain, they are also Tories, they aren't going to swing away from years of that because of one issue.
Of course there will be die-hards who will stick with their party come what may. However, rumour has it that as many as 50% of the UK electorate just now are undecided voters or floaters such is the confusion and chaos caused by Brexit.
That does include the 30% of the electorate who don't vote so very misleading.
Soul Requiem- Posts : 6563
Join date : 2019-07-16
Re: Brexit
So how long before the first whispers of a Tory/Brexit Party pact are floating around? That scruffy tw4t in number 10 will do anything to stay PM, including offering Farage a place in the cabinet
BamBam- Posts : 17226
Join date : 2011-03-17
Age : 35
Re: Brexit
BamBam wrote:So how long before the first whispers of a Tory/Brexit Party pact are floating around? That scruffy tw4t in number 10 will do anything to stay PM, including offering Farage a place in the cabinet
I think the Brexit Party offered such a pact before Boris agreed a deal that Farage was far from happy with so I cannot see there being any pact there.
CaledonianCraig- Posts : 20601
Join date : 2011-05-31
Age : 56
Location : Edinburgh
Re: Brexit
Still think there's a strong possibility of talks between them that would promise some sort of "clean break" that Farage and the ERG muppets keep blithering on about
BamBam- Posts : 17226
Join date : 2011-03-17
Age : 35
Re: Brexit
BamBam wrote:Still think there's a strong possibility of talks between them that would promise some sort of "clean break" that Farage and the ERG muppets keep blithering on about
It is possible I won't deny that as if it did happen it would mean both Johnson and Farage reneging on something they have said they won't do in the past.
CaledonianCraig- Posts : 20601
Join date : 2011-05-31
Age : 56
Location : Edinburgh
Re: Brexit
[quote="BamBam"]So how long before the first whispers of a Tory/Brexit Party pact are floating around? That scruffy tw4t in number 10 will do anything to stay PM, including offering Farage a place in the cabinet[/quote]
How would they do that? He's not an MP, nor will he be after the next election. They could make him a lord I suppose. Lord D!ckhead of Thanet maybe? He's also got no talent except for making trouble (which might still put him ahead of some of the cabinet, but still..).
What would a pact actually mean. 'We ask our supporters to vote conservative?' No guarantee they will. No guarantee they will get any seats at all, although I'd bet on them getting 3rd even 2nd places in the odd hell hole of a constituency.
How would they do that? He's not an MP, nor will he be after the next election. They could make him a lord I suppose. Lord D!ckhead of Thanet maybe? He's also got no talent except for making trouble (which might still put him ahead of some of the cabinet, but still..).
What would a pact actually mean. 'We ask our supporters to vote conservative?' No guarantee they will. No guarantee they will get any seats at all, although I'd bet on them getting 3rd even 2nd places in the odd hell hole of a constituency.
lostinwales- lostinwales
- Posts : 13363
Join date : 2011-06-09
Location : Out of Wales :)
Re: Brexit
So is a NO DEAL Brexit completely off the agenda / impossible? Jeremy Corbyn is saying there is now a guarantee of this and so he will agree to an early General Election. Is this true?
No name Bertie- Posts : 3686
Join date : 2017-02-24
Re: Brexit
No name Bertie wrote:So is a NO DEAL Brexit completely off the agenda / impossible? Jeremy Corbyn is saying there is now a guarantee of this and so he will agree to an early General Election. Is this true?
He must have been given assurances. If that is the case then rule out any pace between the Tories and the Brexit Party. This could get interesting.....
CaledonianCraig- Posts : 20601
Join date : 2011-05-31
Age : 56
Location : Edinburgh
Re: Brexit
lostinwales wrote:BamBam wrote:So how long before the first whispers of a Tory/Brexit Party pact are floating around? That scruffy tw4t in number 10 will do anything to stay PM, including offering Farage a place in the cabinet
How would they do that? He's not an MP, nor will he be after the next election. They could make him a lord I suppose. Lord D!ckhead of Thanet maybe? He's also got no talent except for making trouble (which might still put him ahead of some of the cabinet, but still..).
What would a pact actually mean. 'We ask our supporters to vote conservative?' No guarantee they will. No guarantee they will get any seats at all, although I'd bet on them getting 3rd even 2nd places in the odd hell hole of a constituency.
He's surely going to stand in a strong leave seat? Suppose the pact could be that they would not field candidates in the strong Tory heartland Home Counties with big leave majorities, while the Tories would stand down in the northern constituencies where they would never win anyway, and it will be Brexit Party vs Labour in the strongest leave supporting areas[/quote]
BamBam- Posts : 17226
Join date : 2011-03-17
Age : 35
Re: Brexit
BamBam wrote:lostinwales wrote:BamBam wrote:So how long before the first whispers of a Tory/Brexit Party pact are floating around? That scruffy tw4t in number 10 will do anything to stay PM, including offering Farage a place in the cabinet
How would they do that? He's not an MP, nor will he be after the next election. They could make him a lord I suppose. Lord D!ckhead of Thanet maybe? He's also got no talent except for making trouble (which might still put him ahead of some of the cabinet, but still..).
What would a pact actually mean. 'We ask our supporters to vote conservative?' No guarantee they will. No guarantee they will get any seats at all, although I'd bet on them getting 3rd even 2nd places in the odd hell hole of a constituency.
He's surely going to stand in a strong leave seat? Suppose the pact could be that they would not field candidates in the strong Tory heartland Home Counties with big leave majorities, while the Tories would stand down in the northern constituencies where they would never win anyway, and it will be Brexit Party vs Labour in the strongest leave supporting areas
If No Deal is off the table as Corbyn must have been assured then similarly there will be no deal between the Tories and the Brexit Party.
CaledonianCraig- Posts : 20601
Join date : 2011-05-31
Age : 56
Location : Edinburgh
Re: Brexit
I think he is a fool for believing any assurances. He must think the best time to get his hands on the keys to number 10 is now, as Boris hasn't succeeded on what he promised. Leave it any longer then that will evaporate and people will start turning their anger at his party for dithering and delaying.
You have Leavers, Remainers and Just Get On With It-ers. I think a good portion of those that voted Leave are now in this bracket.....maybe not as convinced as before on the merits of Leave, but equally not in anyway desiring to Remain.
You have Leavers, Remainers and Just Get On With It-ers. I think a good portion of those that voted Leave are now in this bracket.....maybe not as convinced as before on the merits of Leave, but equally not in anyway desiring to Remain.
TwisT- Posts : 17835
Join date : 2011-05-23
Age : 40
Location : Kent
Re: Brexit
Yay, so who's excited about the December general election then?
Yep, thought as much.
I'll be honest and as a Corbyn supporting Remainer who wants to see the back of the Tories, I'm worried. Not so much worried about prospects of Labour, but more about what will happen to our NHS following a Tory majority - I really do think its on its last legs and would be finished off next time round.
Labour did do well in 2017, but that was with an excellent (and surprisingly unified) campaign they ran then up against a disastrous Tory campaign. This time round, under Johnson, the Tories will avoid any gaffes like the 'death tax' and keep their message brutally simple whilst ramping up the dirty tricks under Crosby. Expect an anti-Semitism scandal or 2 to miraculously emerge in time for the election campaign.
I'm a bit disappointed in the change of tactics amongst the opposition - I thought SNP/Lib Dems and Labour worked really well together on fighting the parliament suspension and helping to stop no Deal, but I fear they've made a mistake here (for which I blame all 3 of those parties) enabling Johnson to fight election on pretty much his terms.
Even if Johnson gets a single figure majority, due to the defections and expulsions of Remain minded Tory MPs he will end up with a much easier route to implementing a hard Brexit due to a more Brexity parliamentary intake amongst the next parliament's Tory MPs.
Feeling pessimistic at moment - can anyone give me some reasons to be cheerful from a centre/left of centre Remain point of view?
Yep, thought as much.
I'll be honest and as a Corbyn supporting Remainer who wants to see the back of the Tories, I'm worried. Not so much worried about prospects of Labour, but more about what will happen to our NHS following a Tory majority - I really do think its on its last legs and would be finished off next time round.
Labour did do well in 2017, but that was with an excellent (and surprisingly unified) campaign they ran then up against a disastrous Tory campaign. This time round, under Johnson, the Tories will avoid any gaffes like the 'death tax' and keep their message brutally simple whilst ramping up the dirty tricks under Crosby. Expect an anti-Semitism scandal or 2 to miraculously emerge in time for the election campaign.
I'm a bit disappointed in the change of tactics amongst the opposition - I thought SNP/Lib Dems and Labour worked really well together on fighting the parliament suspension and helping to stop no Deal, but I fear they've made a mistake here (for which I blame all 3 of those parties) enabling Johnson to fight election on pretty much his terms.
Even if Johnson gets a single figure majority, due to the defections and expulsions of Remain minded Tory MPs he will end up with a much easier route to implementing a hard Brexit due to a more Brexity parliamentary intake amongst the next parliament's Tory MPs.
Feeling pessimistic at moment - can anyone give me some reasons to be cheerful from a centre/left of centre Remain point of view?
MrInvisible- Posts : 769
Join date : 2013-01-22
Re: Brexit
I may be wrong - but this "no deal assurance" - may be an assurance that a no deal can't now happen by hook or crook before 31 Jan 2020. So a general election before then cannot be used as a tactic to default the UK out of the EU.
No name Bertie- Posts : 3686
Join date : 2017-02-24
Re: Brexit
No that is true, but I read it as it will tie any Remainer MPs hands behind their back.
As long as the Tory party is the largest party (even without a majority), Boris can say it is a mandate from the people. It is either my deal or no deal. Woe betide any MP that try and delay again - rightly or wrongly.
Mr Invisible - I do feel your only hope is a monumental Boris gaff. I can't even see there being any sort of Leaders debates. I think the Tories will win as the Leave party and the Remain vote will be split a few ways. I did suggest before that it could be a Brexit Party v Lib Dems shootout, but now Boris has a "deal" its enough for those who voted Brexit Party in the Euro elections to come back into the Tory fold.
Reason to be cheerful is that if anyone is likely to make a gaff, then it is our current PM!
As long as the Tory party is the largest party (even without a majority), Boris can say it is a mandate from the people. It is either my deal or no deal. Woe betide any MP that try and delay again - rightly or wrongly.
Mr Invisible - I do feel your only hope is a monumental Boris gaff. I can't even see there being any sort of Leaders debates. I think the Tories will win as the Leave party and the Remain vote will be split a few ways. I did suggest before that it could be a Brexit Party v Lib Dems shootout, but now Boris has a "deal" its enough for those who voted Brexit Party in the Euro elections to come back into the Tory fold.
Reason to be cheerful is that if anyone is likely to make a gaff, then it is our current PM!
TwisT- Posts : 17835
Join date : 2011-05-23
Age : 40
Location : Kent
Re: Brexit
Is a Brexit without a full customs union inconsistent with the Good Friday Agreement of NI? I recall Angela Merkel being quoted as saying something similar and saying that was an issue for Westminster and not the EU. Boris' deal treats NI as a separate entity from the rest of the UK with a custums border separating it from the rest of the UK (which some might see as the beginning of NI separation from the UK and possibly a reabsorption into the rest of Ireland).
No name Bertie- Posts : 3686
Join date : 2017-02-24
Re: Brexit
MrInvisible wrote:more about what will happen to our NHS following a Tory majority - I really do think its on its last legs and would be finished off next time round.
Labour did do well in 2017, but that was with an excellent (and surprisingly unified) campaign they ran then up against a disastrous Tory campaign. This time round, under Johnson, the Tories will avoid any gaffes like the 'death tax' and keep their message brutally simple whilst ramping up the dirty tricks under Crosby. Expect an anti-Semitism scandal or 2 to miraculously emerge in time for the election campaign.
Ah yes, the old NHS will be killed off under the Tories line. Repeated ad nauseam since the 60s, never comes to pass. Funny that.
Agree that Labour will find it tougher in this election, as while Johnson’s credibility is trashed, he is an astute political campaigner. Also agree that anti-semitism scandals will be pronounced during the election campaign...but as Labour is an anti-Semitic party, you have to expect and accept that this will happen.
Duty281- Posts : 34529
Join date : 2011-06-06
Age : 29
Location : I wouldn’t want to be faster or greener than now if you were with me; O you were the best of all my days
Re: Brexit
Duty281 wrote:MrInvisible wrote:more about what will happen to our NHS following a Tory majority - I really do think its on its last legs and would be finished off next time round.
Labour did do well in 2017, but that was with an excellent (and surprisingly unified) campaign they ran then up against a disastrous Tory campaign. This time round, under Johnson, the Tories will avoid any gaffes like the 'death tax' and keep their message brutally simple whilst ramping up the dirty tricks under Crosby. Expect an anti-Semitism scandal or 2 to miraculously emerge in time for the election campaign.
Ah yes, the old NHS will be killed off under the Tories line. Repeated ad nauseam since the 60s, never comes to pass. Funny that.
A rather reductive argument, don't you think? How's funding been for the NHS since the start of the Cameron years?
Pr4wn- Moderator
- Posts : 5797
Join date : 2011-03-09
Location : Vancouver
Re: Brexit
Oh dear...Seems like the Mysogynistic...Racist...Bigot is getting cold feet because despite trying to 'fix' the Election by bringing in Voter ID and disenfranchising poor people everywhere...He is complaining that votes at 16 is being added to try to 'fix' the Election..
Aw bless him.
Aw bless him.
TRUSSMAN66- Posts : 40688
Join date : 2011-02-02
Re: Brexit
No name Bertie wrote:So is a NO DEAL Brexit completely off the agenda / impossible? Jeremy Corbyn is saying there is now a guarantee of this and so he will agree to an early General Election. Is this true?
He has to agree to the GE..........Everyone else wants one..
Forced into it.
TRUSSMAN66- Posts : 40688
Join date : 2011-02-02
Re: Brexit
Government spokesman confirms that if amendment for extension of franchise to 16/17 year olds and EU citizens passes, the government will pull the bill.
Can't have people who are actually likely to be affected for more than 10 years before dying be allowed to vote obviously
Can't have people who are actually likely to be affected for more than 10 years before dying be allowed to vote obviously
BamBam- Posts : 17226
Join date : 2011-03-17
Age : 35
Re: Brexit
Duty281 wrote:MrInvisible wrote:more about what will happen to our NHS following a Tory majority - I really do think its on its last legs and would be finished off next time round.
Labour did do well in 2017, but that was with an excellent (and surprisingly unified) campaign they ran then up against a disastrous Tory campaign. This time round, under Johnson, the Tories will avoid any gaffes like the 'death tax' and keep their message brutally simple whilst ramping up the dirty tricks under Crosby. Expect an anti-Semitism scandal or 2 to miraculously emerge in time for the election campaign.
Ah yes, the old NHS will be killed off under the Tories line. Repeated ad nauseam since the 60s, never comes to pass. Funny that..
Churchill scraped a victory in 1950...(Lost the popular vote)...So he didn't have the numbers..
Heath and MacMillan were moderates from what I have read about them (McMillan was scathing about Thatcher's privatisation).....
Britain joined the EU before Thatcher......Major would be a Lib Dem these days and Cameron had a coalition..
So your statement doesn't really float...
TRUSSMAN66- Posts : 40688
Join date : 2011-02-02
Re: Brexit
Given the age of criminal responsibility is 10 for the UK, I think there is a good case for extending the age of franchise down to 10.
Last edited by No name Bertie on Tue 29 Oct 2019, 4:53 pm; edited 1 time in total
No name Bertie- Posts : 3686
Join date : 2017-02-24
Re: Brexit
BamBam wrote:Government spokesman confirms that if amendment for extension of franchise to 16/17 year olds and EU citizens passes, the government will pull the bill.
Can't have people who are actually likely to be affected for more than 10 years before dying be allowed to vote obviously
Time to call Boris 'frit', 'yellow', 'yellow-bellied' and scared perhaps?
CaledonianCraig- Posts : 20601
Join date : 2011-05-31
Age : 56
Location : Edinburgh
Re: Brexit
BamBam wrote: ... Can't have people who are actually likely to be affected for more than 10 years before dying be allowed to vote obviously
Maybe those people with less than 10 years to live on average should be removed from the franchise. It only seems fair. Let's have a voting age of 10 to 69 for men and 10 to 73 for women.
No name Bertie- Posts : 3686
Join date : 2017-02-24
Re: Brexit
No name Bertie wrote:Given the age of criminal responsibility is 10 for the UK, I think there is a good case for extending the age of franchise down to 10.
It’s 10 for England and Wales, 8 for Scotland.
Duty281- Posts : 34529
Join date : 2011-06-06
Age : 29
Location : I wouldn’t want to be faster or greener than now if you were with me; O you were the best of all my days
Re: Brexit
I was fully aware of the world at 10, I barely knew which power ranger I preferred let alone a political party.
Soul Requiem- Posts : 6563
Join date : 2019-07-16
Re: Brexit
Wow - thanks for that information. I read somewhere that "childhood" was a modern invention - that in the past the view was that you had swaddling infants and young adults. In the past large families were the norm where "young adults" had to contribute to the economic survival of the family / clan.Duty281 wrote:No name Bertie wrote:Given the age of criminal responsibility is 10 for the UK, I think there is a good case for extending the age of franchise down to 10.
It’s 10 for England and Wales, 8 for Scotland.
No name Bertie- Posts : 3686
Join date : 2017-02-24
Re: Brexit
Soul Requiem wrote:I was fully aware of the world at 10, I barely knew which power ranger I preferred let alone a political party.
When is your 11th birthday ??
TRUSSMAN66- Posts : 40688
Join date : 2011-02-02
Re: Brexit
I fully accept that there are arguments to allow 16/17 year olds to vote, and personally don't have a strong opinion either way on it.
Is adding it to a bill calling for an election really the right time for it to be debated though?
Is adding it to a bill calling for an election really the right time for it to be debated though?
Trebs- Posts : 14651
Join date : 2011-05-16
Age : 62
Location : Manchester
Re: Brexit
TRUSSMAN66 wrote:Oh dear...Seems like the Mysogynistic...Racist...Bigot is getting cold feet because despite trying to 'fix' the Election by bringing in Voter ID and disenfranchising poor people everywhere...He is complaining that votes at 16 is being added to try to 'fix' the Election..
Aw bless him.
Which one?
lostinwales- lostinwales
- Posts : 13363
Join date : 2011-06-09
Location : Out of Wales :)
Re: Brexit
Trebs wrote:I fully accept that there are arguments to allow 16/17 year olds to vote, and personally don't have a strong opinion either way on it.
Is adding it to a bill calling for an election really the right time for it to be debated though?
I don't see it as an issue considering that 16 and 17-year-olds have voted in Scotland and Wales for a number of years now without any issues.
CaledonianCraig- Posts : 20601
Join date : 2011-05-31
Age : 56
Location : Edinburgh
TRUSSMAN66- Posts : 40688
Join date : 2011-02-02
Re: Brexit
As I understand it the reservations are with allowing EU citizens a vote.
CaledonianCraig- Posts : 20601
Join date : 2011-05-31
Age : 56
Location : Edinburgh
Re: Brexit
If 16 year olds and EU citizens can't vote, then coffin dodgers and "ex pats" particularly those who voted leave from the Costa Del Sol should also have their vote removed
BamBam- Posts : 17226
Join date : 2011-03-17
Age : 35
Re: Brexit
Duty281 wrote:No name Bertie wrote:Given the age of criminal responsibility is 10 for the UK, I think there is a good case for extending the age of franchise down to 10.
It’s 10 for England and Wales, 8 for Scotland.
Scotland lose again!
JuliusHMarx- julius
- Posts : 22613
Join date : 2011-07-01
Location : Paisley Park
Re: Brexit
TRUSSMAN66 wrote:Soul Requiem wrote:I was fully aware of the world at 10, I barely knew which power ranger I preferred let alone a political party.
When is your 11th birthday ??
Pr4wn- Moderator
- Posts : 5797
Join date : 2011-03-09
Location : Vancouver
Re: Brexit
Brexit as a name now looks olde language. Its sexiness has migrated downfield and no amount of viagra is going to re-engorge it. It's mucho stale in light of the new climate of campaign speeches and empty-promise bandwagoning.
So Time for a name change - Elexit!
So Time for a name change - Elexit!
SecretFly- Posts : 31800
Join date : 2011-12-12
Re: Brexit
SecretFly wrote:Brexit as a name now looks olde language. Its sexiness has migrated downfield and no amount of viagra is going to re-engorge it. It's mucho stale in light of the new climate of campaign speeches and empty-promise bandwagoning.
So Time for a name change - Elexit!
Or if Lib Dems get in ..... Scrubbit.
CaledonianCraig- Posts : 20601
Join date : 2011-05-31
Age : 56
Location : Edinburgh
Re: Brexit
Have we left yet? They're cutting it fine. Do or die.
JuliusHMarx- julius
- Posts : 22613
Join date : 2011-07-01
Location : Paisley Park
Re: Brexit
I'm just dreading all the riots that will happen if Brexit doesn't get done on October the 31st. No riots so far. It is nippy outside though...
Steffan- Posts : 7856
Join date : 2011-02-17
Age : 43
Re: Brexit
The rioters stayed at home. Who needs to go to a riot when you get your way?
SecretFly- Posts : 31800
Join date : 2011-12-12
Re: Brexit
All quiet on the back fence, fly?
Pal Joey- PJ
- Posts : 53506
Join date : 2011-01-27
Location : Always there
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