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Day 16 - Men's Singles Final continued

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Post by Good Golly I'm Olly Mon Jun 11, 2012 12:33 am

First topic message reminder :

So another day is needed. Hope it don't rain again!

Will unfortunately miss the match because I have an exam in the afternoon!

Come on Novak, you can do it son!
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Post by barrystar Mon Jun 11, 2012 2:18 pm

Mad for Chelsea wrote: Greatest clay-courter of all-time, surely?

For sure, and if he can combine this win with another slam this year he's back on track to catch up Fed's overall slam tally.

Looking forward to grass, the fact that things swung Djoko's way when the conditions changed suggest that it could be finely balanced between them should they make it to the final, and that's not a gimme. Nadal's record of being in the final every time he has entered since 2006 probably makes him marginal favourite to avoid any banana skins at this stage (to be reviewed when we've seen them both play on grass).
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Post by Guest Mon Jun 11, 2012 2:19 pm

THANK GOD NOLE DIDN'T WIN! Nadal legend

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Post by Guest Mon Jun 11, 2012 2:20 pm

luciusmann wrote:
legendkillarV2 wrote: Does this end your streak of match predicting between Nadal and Djokovic?

Yes, sadly it does but I'm it was close enough.

Winning 4 in a row is shown to be difficult and now we know why Federer nor Nadal never managed it.

What's noteworthy from that match though is that Djokovic gifted Nadal 3 games with double faults and that includes in championship point. This won't be repeated in the other slam matches with Rafa so there is positive here for Djokovic. Anyhow, I did say that if Nadal wins it will be in 4, if Djokovic does, it will be in 5, so I got the sense of how it would be won by either. The killer blow was falling two sets down but if Nadal was going to make a defense of any slam, it would be on clay and sure enough, that's what's happened @ RG.


I think the 2011 Djokovic would've won that in 3. Never understood why he tried to play the Rafa way in the final. Not in his natural game to do that. I admit that surprised me.

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Post by Jahu Mon Jun 11, 2012 2:21 pm

What happened to destiny and astrologists that Djoko will win?

Rafa the GOAT! After Fed of course :-)
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Post by Tom_____ Mon Jun 11, 2012 2:21 pm

Mad for Chelsea wrote:
bogbrush wrote:I will write a groundbreaking summary of the match alongside insightful irrefutable conclusions to be drawn shortly.

Be patient.

I can't wait Very Happy

For me, it's pretty simple, Rafa at his best on clay is nigh on impossible to beat (just as Fed at his best was on hard-court/grass). Djokovic came back into it a bit when conditions got really heavy, but in "normal" conditions Rafa was imperious. Greatest clay-courter of all-time, surely?

I agree with this. If anything, the final showed that in decent weather Nadal was one notch above Djoko generally. However when it got wet and heavy, low bounce and slow and a little bit dangerous really Nadal's style was unaffective.

The biggest thing for me tho is that the French officials and crowd are dreadful. Ball calls, bad officiating, bad organisation, crowd shouting out on match point etc. The recipe was there for either player to be angry if they lost and to be honest i feel quite irritated by the whole event even though i preferred Nadal to win.

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Post by luciusmann Mon Jun 11, 2012 2:21 pm

Also LK, this doesn't change the dynamics for the other slams. On clay Nadal is king but on other surfaces, which are faster, Djokovic will easily be favourite to beat Nadal, especially for the upcoming two slams.

This is good for Fed though, Djokovic isn't too far ahead in the points stake and I expect Fed to be No.2 by the start of the USO, which will be crucial for him. The possibility of Djokovic and Nadal playing on and on on super Saturday would be awesome for Fed!

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Post by laverfan Mon Jun 11, 2012 2:24 pm

Nadal has stopped both Federer and Djokovic from respective 'Grand' slams. Wink

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Post by Guest Mon Jun 11, 2012 2:26 pm

luciusmann wrote:
Nore Staat wrote:
luciusmann wrote:... I was simply taking issue with Nadal being clear favourite. ...
Who are we to believe an armchair critic or a 16 times slam champion or the bookies?

Being favorite doesn't mean someone will win.

Being favorite is based on probability.

Probability is not based on a fan's hopes or wishes.

Probability is based on past data and the specifics of the outcomes.

Many of the specifics were based before the match had started so catch up with reality instead of sounding like a broken record. We can now look at what's actually happened and what I referred to as Djokovic's fighting spirit, or what you called Novak Mk.II has come out. You seem to be in denial about the possibility that Nadal can lose from two sets and a break up to love, unprecedented yes but there are historic records are on the line here.

Armchair critic? Please, don't talk rubbish. If I didn't have a track record of calling Djokovic winner many times in his matches with Nadal, first at Wimbledon, then @ the USO and again @ the Aussie Open, your assessment of an armchair critic would be right. The bookies naturally would consider Nadal favourite prior to the match and Federer has lost 5 times to Nadal @ RG, I don't think he's going to think anyone is capable of beating Nadal @ RG. What have you called right? I was happy to leave this but as you don't, let's continue. I said Djokovic would win last year at Wimbledon even before he played Tsonga and even said it would be a final between Nadal and Djokovic (before even Nadal won his semis). Were you on the site then? No need to patronize me ans tell me about probability, I know perfectly well what it is. He isn't clear favourite, before the match he was but certainly not now it's unfolded after 3 hours. Unless you been watching the football or had your eyes closed, you conclusion seems to be based on something out of this world.
So it would appear you have been speaking twaddle, just like your FEDAL article.

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Post by kemet Mon Jun 11, 2012 2:28 pm

Both players are great champions. Rafa has just shown why he is The King of Clay.

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Post by User 774433 Mon Jun 11, 2012 2:29 pm

FUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK

I am sorry for Novak fans today, he is still the best in the world and I am sure he will go on to have an amazing career and achieve great things- he is a true champion. Hug

But today is Nadal's day. This is his moment.

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Post by luciusmann Mon Jun 11, 2012 2:31 pm

Nore Staat wrote: So it would appear you have been speaking twaddle, just like your FEDAL article.

Hardly. Nadal needed the win today, Djokovic didn't. This is clay and no one's beaten Rafa when two sets down. Djokovic fought bravely but gifting 3 games on double faults. No one can have predicted that, Djokovic hasn't done that as many times in his other grand slam matches with Nadal and that made the difference. Completely different match if that hadn't happened. Djokovic was in a good position to win this match, Djokovic lost it, more than anything.

My Fedal article was too soon but that's another matter. Twaddle? Maybe to you, but you're full of it. Either way, as a Fed fan this is good for Federer, he still stands a good shot @ No.1 whereas Nadal doesn't and is in good shape to take the No.2 position prior to the USO, all good for Federer.

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Post by Haddie-nuff Mon Jun 11, 2012 2:39 pm

luciusmann wrote:
Nore Staat wrote: So it would appear you have been speaking twaddle, just like your FEDAL article.

Hardly. Nadal needed the win today, Djokovic didn't. This is clay and no one's beaten Rafa when two sets down. Djokovic fought bravely but gifting 3 games on double faults. No one can have predicted that, Djokovic hasn't done that as many times in his other grand slam matches with Nadal and that made the difference. Completely different match if that hadn't happened. Djokovic was in a good position to win this match, Djokovic lost it, more than anything.

My Fedal article was too soon but that's another matter. Twaddle? Maybe to you, but you're full of it. Either way, as a Fed fan this is good for Federer, he still stands a good shot @ No.1 whereas Nadal doesn't and is in good shape to take the No.2 position prior to the USO, all good for Federer.

Somehow LMan I dont think Djoko would agree with you.. by the look on his face at the end of the match his world as he knew it had come to an end. He will have to be superhuman to be in that position again me thinks

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Post by luciusmann Mon Jun 11, 2012 2:46 pm

I'm not a partisan support of Nadal or Djokovic particularly, Im balanced Haddie-nuff.

Nadal has been beaten at all the other slams by Djokovic, that's fact one. Crucially, it's easy to get carried away and say one defeat marks the end of Djokovic, the same was said of Fed after Wimbledon '08 but the big difference is that Djokovic is younger and in his peak.

I think Djokovic will agree. All matches are tough and losing one where you were close to making a come back is disappointing but Djokovic is a better hardcourt player and grass court player. You're recycling the same arguments some Nadal supporters used to comfort themselves last year prior to Wimbledon. Novak can't win in a slam match with Rafa. Can't win in BO5. Isn't as good on grass. There were plenty more. All history. Anyway, I don't want to detract from Nadal's triumph with what may happen in the future. As I said on another thread when Nadal was being attacked by jersey yesterday, he deserves respect and is a gracious champion. Why not focus on his victory now then hype up his chances as you are now for future tournaments? Savoir the moment you have now.

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Post by Mad for Chelsea Mon Jun 11, 2012 2:50 pm

luciusmann wrote:
Nore Staat wrote: So it would appear you have been speaking twaddle, just like your FEDAL article.

Hardly. Nadal needed the win today, Djokovic didn't. This is clay and no one's beaten Rafa when two sets down. Djokovic fought bravely but gifting 3 games on double faults. No one can have predicted that, Djokovic hasn't done that as many times in his other grand slam matches with Nadal and that made the difference. Completely different match if that hadn't happened. Djokovic was in a good position to win this match, Djokovic lost it, more than anything.

My Fedal article was too soon but that's another matter. Twaddle? Maybe to you, but you're full of it. Either way, as a Fed fan this is good for Federer, he still stands a good shot @ No.1 whereas Nadal doesn't and is in good shape to take the No.2 position prior to the USO, all good for Federer.

sorry, but Djokovic "didn't need the win today". What does that even mean? Djokovic today had the chance to accomplish something very very few have ever managed, and you seem to be suggesting he wasn't as desperate to win as Nadal?!?!?! In that case he should retire now really...

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Post by Guest Mon Jun 11, 2012 2:51 pm

Hardly. Nadal needed the win today, Djokovic didn't.

This is very true. Nadal needed this badly. Had Djokovic won, I am not so sure Nadal would've challenged for Wimbledon or the US given RG is his home.

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Post by luciusmann Mon Jun 11, 2012 2:56 pm

MforC, I can clarify -as you've misunderstood. Losing today for Nadal would have been far worse, he'd have lost at all 4 slams in a row to his main rival. I've not refereed to whether Djokovic really wanted the win badly today. Of course he did, that fierce competitive steak is apparent in all top players. Wanting a win badly isn't the same as whether he needs it (from an impartial point of view). Djokovic has shown he can come back and deal with disappointment in the slams, as has Rafa so I don't think it will change the dynamics at other slams where the surface doesn't favour Nadal. Hence why I said Djokovic 'didn't need the win today'.


Last edited by luciusmann on Mon Jun 11, 2012 2:57 pm; edited 1 time in total

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Post by Haddie-nuff Mon Jun 11, 2012 2:57 pm

I think you misunderstood me Lman you said that Nadal needed to win (yes he did) and Nole didnt (but here was where I was disagreeing with you) and as I said by the look on his face so was he. Im not saying he wont win any more slams of course he will but will he be poised to take all 4 at the same time.. I think not. Also there was a lot at stake for both players.. aside from 7 wins for Rafa 4 GS for Djokovic.. a lot of pride and prestige was in that match also.

Im not gloating because I like you know that fate is fickle. I do savour the moment because in Rafa´s case I do NOT think he will win it again. And I do not believe his career will be as long as Federers. So I dont need a homily about respect. I respect every one of them.. you cannot have the top 10 players in the world unless you have those that are climbing the ladder behind them.

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Post by invisiblecoolers Mon Jun 11, 2012 3:01 pm

Had Nadal made a career slam of losses to Djokovic that would have shattered him to pieces considering he was 2set and a break on 3rd set.

Luckily it didn't happen that way and everything went by plan when then play resumed today.

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Post by Mad for Chelsea Mon Jun 11, 2012 3:01 pm

fair enough Lman, but I think Haddie also makes a good point, in that I'm not sure how many more chances Novak will have to hold all four slams at once, so today was very important for him too in that sense. I do think a defeat for Nadal would have been worse though, that's true.

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Post by luciusmann Mon Jun 11, 2012 3:02 pm

Haddie-nuff wrote:I think you misunderstood me Lman you said that Nadal needed to win (yes he did) and Nole didnt (but here was where I was disagreeing with you) and as I said by the look on his face so was he. Im not saying he wont win any more slams of course he will but will he be poised to take all 4 at the same time.. I think not. Also there was a lot at stake for both players.. aside from 7 wins for Rafa 4 GS for Djokovic.. a lot of pride and prestige was in that match also.

Im not gloating because I like you know that fate is fickle. I do savour the moment because in Rafa´s case I do NOT think he will win it again. And I do not believe his career will be as long as Federers. So I dont need a homily about respect. I respect every one of them.. you cannot have the top 10 players in the world unless you have those that are climbing the ladder behind them.

Fair enough. I just think the desire to want to win is different from whether he needs to win. Djokovic is in his peak years and like all these top players but especially the top 3, he probably thinks he can win 4 in a row....provided he continues as he has in since 2011. That's the big question mark which many posed last year and it's only partly been answered so far this year. I said myself that only one player has followed up winning 3 slams in one year with another 2/3 the following year: Federer. I'm not so sure now, I think Djokovic stands a good chance of winning 2 this year, if not 3. Nadal can stop him on clay, but who else is there on the other surfaces....?

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Post by Haddie-nuff Mon Jun 11, 2012 3:10 pm

Agreed ... but when you are at the top of the mountain (we have seen it before)
You have to have a good sense of balance to stay there when you have those climbing up who are taking a pot shot at you. Lets face it even Seppi had his chance as did Tsonga.. Nole has to be in top condition both physically and mentally to be able to continue what he is doing - Nole, as will be others, adapted his game in order to beat Rafa, Rafa has gone some way to returning the compliment I believe there are some coming through the ranks that wont make his life easy for either of them

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Post by invisiblecoolers Mon Jun 11, 2012 3:16 pm

luciusmann wrote:
Haddie-nuff wrote:I think you misunderstood me Lman you said that Nadal needed to win (yes he did) and Nole didnt (but here was where I was disagreeing with you) and as I said by the look on his face so was he. Im not saying he wont win any more slams of course he will but will he be poised to take all 4 at the same time.. I think not. Also there was a lot at stake for both players.. aside from 7 wins for Rafa 4 GS for Djokovic.. a lot of pride and prestige was in that match also.

Im not gloating because I like you know that fate is fickle. I do savour the moment because in Rafa´s case I do NOT think he will win it again. And I do not believe his career will be as long as Federers. So I dont need a homily about respect. I respect every one of them.. you cannot have the top 10 players in the world unless you have those that are climbing the ladder behind them.

Fair enough. I just think the desire to want to win is different from whether he needs to win. Djokovic is in his peak years and like all these top players but especially the top 3, he probably thinks he can win 4 in a row....provided he continues as he has in since 2011. That's the big question mark which many posed last year and it's only partly been answered so far this year. I said myself that only one player has followed up winning 3 slams in one year with another 2/3 the following year: Federer. I'm not so sure now, I think Djokovic stands a good chance of winning 2 this year, if not 3. Nadal can stop him on clay, but who else is there on the other surfaces....?

Del Potro, Tsonga, Berdych, Isner and obiviously Fed , Murray and Nadal can stop him thumbsup

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Post by CAS Mon Jun 11, 2012 3:19 pm

I think Del Potro will win the US open this year, just a little feeling. He looked like he meant business against Fed, I got some painful flashbacks! Fed is still his nemesis but he may not have to play him to win it

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Post by luciusmann Mon Jun 11, 2012 3:25 pm

In many respects the way RG has unfolded is good for Fed and for tennis (unless you're a huge Djokovic fan). Fed is going to be below the radar @ Wimbledon given his lacklustre performance and str8 sets loss to Djokovic and Nadal's win keeps the rivalry with Djokovic competitive as they move onto the short grass court season and then the longer hardcourt season.

I see what you mean about players taking pot shots when you're at the top Haddie. I'm just unsure if any of them will take out Djokovic @ Wimbledon or USO this year. It will happen eventually but seems doubtful it will happen soon. At the moment the sense is that Djokovic is more likely of the big 3/4 of exiting prior to the semis from now on in the slams until next year if he continues the form he showed in earlier rounds (which wasn't good). His form seems a tad erratic but when he's needed it, it's come through. Maybe it will be a different story on other surfaces?

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Post by invisiblecoolers Mon Jun 11, 2012 3:26 pm

CAS wrote:I think Del Potro will win the US open this year, just a little feeling. He looked like he meant business against Fed, I got some painful flashbacks! Fed is still his nemesis but he may not have to play him to win it

I see the same too CAS, I hope DP is not drawn with Fed before finals.

I wish he be draw to face Djoko in QF and Rafa in semi's and Fed in the finals and win them to do a royal flush Very Happy [which he narrowly missed on USO 2009 coz Murray being the 3rd seed failed before the QF to cilic and that costed him].

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Post by CAS Mon Jun 11, 2012 3:27 pm

anyone think Nadal will play Halle this week?

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Post by Haddie-nuff Mon Jun 11, 2012 3:33 pm

CAS I weas going to ask the same question ???

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Post by CAS Mon Jun 11, 2012 3:34 pm

I really hope so Haddie, I have my fingers crossed for a Fed v Nadal final, but I wouldn't blame him for skipping it

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Post by Mad for Chelsea Mon Jun 11, 2012 3:35 pm

CAS wrote:anyone think Nadal will play Halle this week?

nope, given his final carried over to Monday, can't see it happening.

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Post by CAS Mon Jun 11, 2012 3:37 pm

if he does, I see him having an early exit similar to the last few years at Queens anyway

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Post by Leff Mon Jun 11, 2012 3:44 pm

Call it 'spot fixing' if you wish.

I won a bet against my wife that Djokovic will serve a double-fault at break-point to lose the match.

That Jersey fool's Indian astrologer tipped me off.

Thanks, Novak. Very Happy

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Post by Good Golly I'm Olly Mon Jun 11, 2012 4:30 pm

OH NOVAK NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO Cry
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Post by socal1976 Mon Jun 11, 2012 5:53 pm

Well congratulations to nadal he deserved it he played the better match. Little dissappointed in the way novak played the first two sets with a low first serve percentage and a lot of unforced errors. But all in all the better man on the day and a great champion won.


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Post by Haddie-nuff Mon Jun 11, 2012 8:27 pm

Thank you Socal ... your a gentleman. king

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Post by socal1976 Mon Jun 11, 2012 8:42 pm

No problem haddie enjoy the win it was a great effort from your player Nadal.

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Post by Guest Mon Jun 11, 2012 10:58 pm

luciusmann wrote:... Twaddle? Maybe to you, but you're full of it. ...
You say I am full of it because I said Nadal was the clear favorite, being two sets to one up and from a fresh start. I presented arguments and reasoning, you presented emotional fan boy twaddle.

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Post by luciusmann Mon Jun 11, 2012 11:03 pm

Nore Staat wrote: You say I am full of it because I said Nadal was the clear favorite, being two sets to one up and from a fresh start. I presented arguments and reasoning, you presented emotional fan boy twaddle.

No you didn't, you gave odds and stats from prior to the final which Nadal had accumulated in other matches (not relevant so much when the match was being played and not relevant with Djokovic as much).

No particular emotions invested in this match so don't assume please -Im well known to support Fed, I'd have prefered Djokovic to win but that doesn't come remotely to fan boy stuff. Irrelevant stuff. Again, more twaddle.

I'm happy to admit I don't get all my predictions right. I don't try coming up with claptrap stuff suggesting other posters present emotional fan boy twaddle when it's well known on the forum I'm not a Djokovic fan. Don't distort things please.

luciusmann

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