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Nadal 0 Darcis 3 - Initial Thoughts

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Post by Henman Bill Mon 24 Jun 2013, 7:14 pm

First topic message reminder :

First to Rafa fans: Well done for braving the forum first of all. Your man is a great champion and will be back as he always is, history will remember the 2008 final more than this match which will be merely a footnote, and champions are made by titles and head to head battles with fellow top players. History is kind to these sorts of results. Many of the greats in tennis history suffered shock defeats.

After joining the match in the second set tiebreaker (so saw less than half of it):


Nadal – did not look himself at all. Physically, he was sometimes clearly pulling up. Some very strange shots, like drop slices into the net, hitting the ball far too short. I assume it’s a physical issue/injury. If not, something mental (personal issue). In some ways I think it’s both. Rafa seems to lose belief and confidence in his game when he isn’t close to 100% physically, despite being the fighter that he is. Nadal has never lost in straight sets at Wimbledon, has he? Never lost in the first round at any slam? If Rafa was himself, this would never have happened, he was so poor. I would be curious to see Lydian’s thoughts on his movement.


Darcis – Well done to him. I will congratulate him but…I think both professional (BBC) and amateur (this forum) pundits have overcalled the performance. He played better than average for him for sure but to me took advantage of a good situation in his favour in terms of Rafa’s poor performance. He seemed to hit some shots way long, wait for Rafa errors etc. Served well certainly. I could see him losing in R2, R3 or R4 at most. He has a winnable match in R2 (Kubot) where I might make him favourite on this performance, but second favourite in all other matches after that.


Compared to Rosol match – somehow, this feels less shocking to me. When Rafa went on court against Rosol, we could say he had reached the final of every Wimbledon he had entered since losing early in 2005 (his first try at Wimbledon) and also that he had reached at least the quarter final in every slam since losing to Soderling in 2009 FO R4, and that the last time he lost before R4 had been in 2005. This time, we can say it was just similar to last year. Also, last year was much more dramatic and exciting with the 5th set under the roof, the tension. Here, in a straight setter with much more than a hint of an injury (I didn’t think he did have one against Rosol, not at the time anyway) it wasn’t the same. Also, Rosol in the 5th set played so well compared to Darcis, a whole other level. Rosol’s performance was legend, Darcis’s just merely surprising. Also, when I saw the Soderling result I literally ask myself if I had imagined it, Rafa seemed impregnable then, now, with injury worries well documented, this was always a possibility. Only the 3rd most surprising loss of his career.


Rafa shock defeats – that’s arguably the 3 most shocking defeats in tennis since Bastl-Sampras 2001 – all happening to the same player. Murray, Djokovic and especially Federer just don’t have equivalent results. Why?

I suppose it could be any or all of:

1-    his health/physical issues/injuries

2-    his passive play which exposes himself to players in the zone or playing aggressively and gambling

3-    the fact that he starts slowly at times, both in matches and tournaments, expecting to gear up to form later.

4-    coincidence.

5-    such a great player, that big results against him are just so much more interesting even compared to Murray or maybe even Djokovic (at least pre 2011 version)


Some footnotes:

a)    Shame we won’t see the Federer-Nadal QF, although it didn’t seem right to be a QF so have mixed feelings about that, would prefer one more FINAL at Wimbledon one day (although even in some ways would be good to just finish their rivalry here as it ended in 2008. It can’t get any better than that).

b)   Nadal loses a little momentum in the slam total battle with Roger and others.

c)    Federer now a more realistic title contender, looked a really big ask before this.

d)    Lot of talk about Nadal for year end 1 on here a while back. I said at the time I didn’t believe it and I think others may have to join me now in that he is in a battle for year end no 2 with Murray, especially if Djokovic walks off with this title. Nadal should reach a high ranking position after the AO anyway, not the year end, since he didn’t play it this year.

e)    The issue of Rafa being seeded #5 is no longer an issue now. The lopsided draw is no longer top heavy. If anything you could argue it’s work out quite fairly to have Djokovic the top seed in the easier half.


Finally
Wish him well. Hope Rafa is back for the US hard court season, and not a long term absence.

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Post by invisiblecoolers Mon 24 Jun 2013, 11:50 pm

laverfan wrote:

As iC (The Invincibles/Invisibles) says, a win is much more worth celebrating then a loss.

Hug

laverfan wrote:A certain Mr. Borg, did not believe in playing Grass warm-ups and ended with 5 on the Grass. 

Thats why people still sing praise of him, inspite of it being 150,000 light years since he retired Very Happy .

But I heard one more thing, while Borg boycotted the warmup events, he does come to Wimbledon a week or two early and practice sterling hard on Wimbledon grass, he had a technique and formula on his own for the success and it worked great, its not like after FO, he will take 2 weeks off and suddenly play grass court, had he done that some body might have done a Bastl or Darcis to him as well.

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Post by YvonneT Mon 24 Jun 2013, 11:59 pm

Well, I came on to read up some Nadal fans opinions on why the knee can be so much worse after 2 weeks off than it was at the end of RG after so many weeks grinding on the clay (genuine question, no subtext).

Lydian's earlier post and the quote from Becker do give some insight to that re the lower bounce and different movement. I must say I am a bit surprised about this given enthusiasm from Nadal earlier this year for "natural surfaces" which was taken by most I think to mean grass as well as clay. There was many a long post from Red in particular about more grass tournaments etc. It just goes to show in a way that different surfaces aggravate different underlying issues, so players must manage their schedule to the tournaments that suit them (like Nadal did with the golden swing).

My own initial thoughts:
- As against Rosol last year, Nadal definitely didn't look at his best. I think there were more errors this year than that match, and poorer movement (but also noted as HB said, a lot of running round the backhand which is odd if the movement is impaired).
- But, it's fair to assume he felt he had a chance at winning the tournament (even with really painful knees) or he wouldn't have played
- I think there is also an element that Nadal has struggled in the first week even when fit enough to go on to win the title - maybe this make him more nervous?
- I wondered pre-RG if he had played far too many weeks from April - June (on top of the 3 weeks in South America). It turned out not to matter there, but maybe it is something he needs to consider.
- Although he's completed the "channel slam" twice before, maybe at 27, he's too old to go straight from one slam into another, especially when he can get himself into long matches.
- I don't see him winning either of the next 2 hard court slams, and once he turns 28, I'm not sure he will be in contention for any off clay. But you never know, you can't count him out.


Last edited by YvonneT on Tue 25 Jun 2013, 12:11 am; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : typos)

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Post by YvonneT Tue 25 Jun 2013, 12:06 am

FedsFan, Federer has gone from the worst possible quarter final to possibly the easiest one (assuming he gets there). I know he beat Djokovic and Murray back to back last year, but had seemed better throughout the year than he has this year - however getting to a potential semi with minimum fuss could be just the break he needed to defend his title here.

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Post by invisiblecoolers Tue 25 Jun 2013, 12:19 am

YvonneT wrote:Well, I came on to read up some Nadal fans opinions on why the knee can be so much worse after 2 weeks off than it was at the end of RG after so many weeks grinding on the clay (genuine question, no subtext).

Lydian's earlier post and the quote from Becker do give some insight to that re the lower bounce and different movement. I must say I am a bit surprised about this given enthusiasm from Nadal earlier this year for "natural surfaces" which was taken by most I think to mean grass as well as clay. There was many a long post from Red in particular about more grass tournaments etc. It just goes to show in a way that different surfaces aggravate different underlying issues, so players must manage their schedule to the tournaments that suit them (like Nadal did with the golden swing).

My own initial thoughts:
- As against Rosol last year, Nadal definitely didn't look at his best. I think there were more errors this year than that match, and poorer movement (but also noted as HB said, a lot of running round the backhand which is odd if the movement is impaired).
- But, it's fair to assume he felt he had a chance at winning the tournament (even with really painful knees) or he wouldn't have played
- I think there is also an element that Nadal has struggled in the first week even when fit enough to go on to win the title - maybe this make him more nervous?
- I wondered pre-RG if he had played far too many weeks from April - June (on top of the 3 weeks in South America). It turned out not to matter there, but maybe it is something he needs to consider.
- Although he's completed the "channel slam" twice before, maybe at 27, he's too old to go straight from one slam into another, especially when he can get himself into long matches.
- I don't see him winning either of the next 2 hard court slams, and once he turns 28, I'm not sure he will be in contention for any off clay. But you never know, you can't count him out.

Great Post bro:clap:

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Post by lydian Tue 25 Jun 2013, 8:34 am

IC, all in all from your post match comments you seem to be extracting almost a little glee at the loss it has to be said. The collective calling of his fans as rafitos is also a derogatory term as its tantamount calling people fanboys. We get what you're repeatedly saying, Nadal deserves no sympathy. Ok, move on, his fans - er sorry, little bushy eyed naive rafitos - have.
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Post by time please Tue 25 Jun 2013, 9:05 am

I am relieved that Federer has lost a (very likely) extremely slippery banana skin - I think that is a perfectly okay reaction.  While the outcome I would prefer above all would have been for the two of them to meet in the QFs and for TMF to emerge victorious - I'm afraid I now quail at the prospect of a meeting (what a good job I don't make my living playing competitive sports!).  I was very relieved on (I'm sure it was) Murray's behalf, that Darcis knocked Berdych out in 1st round of OG - that is very different to wishing ill on any player.  I am sure that had Djokovic been knocked out before the semi at RG, there is many a Rafa fan who would have been feeling that the rest of the tournament would be a more relaxing ride and they should be able to express that. I wasn't posting at the time, but if a Ferrer fan (for instance) had said that they were relieved that Tsonga had knocked Fed out because they felt that Ferrer then had a greater chance of reaching the final - it wouldn't have bothered me in the slightest. 

I've been a critic of some of Nadal's on court etiquette in the past, but yesterday he was magnificent in defeat from his congratulation at the net to waiting for his opponent to leave the court with him, signing of autographs and acknowledgement of the crowd - very like Federer after his defeat to Tsonga in fact.  These two immense figures of tennis - two of the greatest champions we have seen - are probably at this stage very comfortable with what they have achieved although they both undoubtedly have the fire (bodies willing) to win more.

Personally, despite relief on TMF's and Murray's behalf, I am very sad to see a great champion struggling and to go out in the first round, but it has been a  triumphant return to the tour for Rafa and that is what we will all focus on a few weeks from now.  I also find it quite sad to think that people  may not feel able to celebrate a great victory by the underdog -(and it still was a clever game Darcis played because a third rate Nadal is still Nadal 12 times slam champion and clay king)

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Post by YvonneT Tue 25 Jun 2013, 9:37 am

Lydian & Time Please, yeah there's a  difference between being not being unhappy that Rafa's out and being particularly gleeful about it.  

It's a bit odd to pretend that there was no physical condition affecting Rafa's performance. On the other hand, it's also a bit odd for anyone to suggest that the trophy is somehow "less shiny" as Rafa wasn't 100% and is no longer in the tournament. Not that I've seen anyone say that on here just yet, but let's just say I'm bracing myself for it Wink

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Post by CaledonianCraig Tue 25 Jun 2013, 9:41 am

I said before the tournament started that whoever wins it will have deserved it and nothing changes on that front. Others may not feel the same but that is their outlook.
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Post by barrystar Tue 25 Jun 2013, 10:00 am

Henman Bill wrote:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zugpfIASTlk

Very fair comments from Rafa "I don't want to talk about my knee today".

Read between the lines. "My knee was very bad. I don't want to talk about that today, so we'll talk about it more later so as not to take credit away from my opponent too much."

Very fair comment, much better than with Rosol where he came out with injured months later. Look at the you tube clip above, it's pretty clear.

He was v. angry when he lost to Rosol, there were periods in that match when he looked the more likely winner.  In this match although the 2nd set tie-breaker was close, he was very much the second best player across the whole match, and he's been there before.  I agree that he wasn't at his best.  I suspect that his knee has made the transition from clay to grass a bit too much for him if his clay season finishes with the full intensity of a final at RG.
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Post by break_in_the_fifth Tue 25 Jun 2013, 10:04 am

Whoever wins it will have earnt it unless that person is Murray.

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Post by FedsFan Tue 25 Jun 2013, 10:21 am

YvonneT wrote:Lydian & Time Please, yeah there's a  difference between being not being unhappy that Rafa's out and being particularly gleeful about it.  

It's a bit odd to pretend that there was no physical condition affecting Rafa's performance. On the other hand, it's also a bit odd for anyone to suggest that the trophy is somehow "less shiny" as Rafa wasn't 100% and is no longer in the tournament. Not that I've seen anyone say that on here just yet, but let's just say I'm bracing myself for it Wink

I am not looking to attack Nadal fans but why is it when he loses its always an injury? Nadal himself has said it was not an injury issue. On the other hand, with every Federer loss people are ready to say he is over the hill and washed up etc. When Tsonga humbled him at RG, he lost because he played a shocker and Tsonga played a blinder. His back issue affects his serve but his appalling shot selection that day and the fact that he forgot he was playing tennis not football when he dumped his smashes into the net was evidence he had a bad day. I believe Nadal had a bad day yesterday just as he had a shaky couple of rounds at RG. Brands nearly had him at 2 sets to love there too.

If Nadal was not 95% he would not have played. Maybe he was unsteady on the grass and maybe he was thinking about the loss last year. He didn't get thumped, he went on two t/b and a 6/4 which is pretty close.
I think he may use this loss to justify missing a good chunk of the h/c season.

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Post by CaledonianCraig Tue 25 Jun 2013, 10:25 am

Sorry FedsFan but I have noted Federer fans coming out with excuses as well for losses - it may not always have been injury but excuses can alway be had. Lets not stop there as no doubt there will be Murray fans who have done this and Djokovic fans. It is not unique to Nadal fans that much I know.
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Post by break_in_the_fifth Tue 25 Jun 2013, 10:29 am

It's the extent to which it's done CC that's more relevant afterall even Fed has had a couple MTOs...

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Post by CaledonianCraig Tue 25 Jun 2013, 10:35 am

Yes but do you not feel that has something to do with opportunity? I mean Roger has been so imperious and avoided such defeats but had he lost against Falla or Benneteau we would have got them. In short no fans are better than any other group of fans. We all do the same - grasp at straws to explain away defeats though sometimes they are not excuses but valid reasons.
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Post by JuliusHMarx Tue 25 Jun 2013, 10:37 am

Rafa spoke just before Wimby about how entering last year was a mistake and that he shouldn't have played it. I can't see him making the same mistake twice, having so recently acknowledged it was a mistake the first time. What would he have to gain by repeating it?

I still wonder how much was mental, how much his movement was affected by the fear of pain rather than actual pain. Once the doubts creep in, it can affect you a lot. Not to mention the lack of practice on grass.
It's not like he was hobbling around. If he'd won the set point he had in the 2nd, he probably would have gone on to win and we'd probably be saying he simply looked out of practice on grass and it would improve as the tournament wore on.

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Post by CaledonianCraig Tue 25 Jun 2013, 10:41 am

It could have been partially a mental issue but his movement certainly wasn't what I come to expect of Rafa. True he wasn't hobbling around but not all injuries make people hobble they hinder speedy movement and sudden direction change. I watched and saw him refusing to chase down shots he used to return without any great problem. Sure he chose to go out on court and perhaps was desperate to exorcise some demons in his head but it back-fired. Darcis deserves credit for the game he played as well - I couldn't fault his approach.
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Post by JuliusHMarx Tue 25 Jun 2013, 10:49 am

It would be odd though for a player to say "I played Wimbledon last year when my knees were bad - it was a big mistake" while in the back of his mind thinking "And I'm about to do it again"


Last edited by JuliusHMarx on Tue 25 Jun 2013, 11:08 am; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : typo)

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Post by CaledonianCraig Tue 25 Jun 2013, 10:58 am

Yes JHM. If I have to be critical here I would say that Rafa's team perhaps should have either insisted he try his knee in Halle or Queen's on grass. Any pain or discomfort then pull him out of Wimbledon. I'd say looking at that interview yesterday morning he had doubts in his mind.
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Post by barrystar Tue 25 Jun 2013, 11:13 am

Why get so heated if some fans of Nadal (or any player for that matter) seem reluctant to admit that their hero lost in a fair fight?

It's obvious that something was making a difference yesterday, whether a physical problem with the knee or a lack of confidence in the knee, or a lack of the necessary fine-tune conditioning for playing on grass instead of clay.  Whether the knee or something else was making the difference we won't know, although it's likely the knee played a part.

I used to get wound up by starred slam arguments and all of that, but it's an argument nobody can ever win absent a willingness to concede on one or other side (mind you it was easier to let it go after Fed won Aus Open 2010, and then in particular Wimbledon last year in the age of titans).

In a physical sport part of what the player must bring to the party along with his innate skill, win to will, tennis brain, and so on is his physical fitness.  If he can't he will lose - one can always say that his state of fitness affected his play, but it doesn't affect the score or re-write the name on the cup.  I don't see why a player's inability to get himself into the correct state to win a match is seen as somehow excusable compared to other explanations for his loss (extreme examples are exceptions - e.g. monica seles).
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Post by CaledonianCraig Tue 25 Jun 2013, 11:19 am

barrystar wrote:Why get so heated if some fans of Nadal (or any player for that matter) seem reluctant to admit that their hero lost in a fair fight?

It's obvious that something was making a difference yesterday, whether a physical problem with the knee or a lack of confidence in the knee, or a lack of the necessary fine-tune conditioning for playing on grass instead of clay.  Whether the knee or something else was making the difference we won't know, although it's likely the knee played a part.

I used to get wound up by starred slam arguments and all of that, but it's an argument nobody can ever win absent a willingness to concede on one or other side (mind you it was easier to let it go after Fed won Aus Open 2010, and then in particular Wimbledon last year in the age of titans).

In a physical sport part of what the player must bring to the party along with his innate skill, win to will, tennis brain, and so on is his physical fitness.  If he can't he will lose - one can always say that his state of fitness affected his play, but it doesn't affect the score or re-write the name on the cup.  I don't see why a player's inability to get himself into the correct state to win a match is seen as somehow excusable compared to other explanations for his loss (extreme examples are exceptions - e.g. monica seles).

Spot on barry. thumbsup Great post.
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Post by JuliusHMarx Tue 25 Jun 2013, 11:59 am

Just saw Henman talking about it (live)
He says Rafa must have been 100% fit during the FO, that it was not possible to win it, including the 9-7 5th set against Djoko, unless he was 100% fit. He's just not sure what could have changed in the last 2 weeks, given that we would have rested for a few days after RG.
He also made reference to Rafa struggling in the 3rd set, so maybe Rafa did go into the match 100%, not expecting any problems, but the low bounce and the extra bending caused problems after a while.

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Post by CaledonianCraig Tue 25 Jun 2013, 12:03 pm

Yes but he did add that it may be something about movement on grass - the bending and such-like. I would say his struggling came more pronounced as the match wore on and he was missing a lot of curious shots and opting against playing back-hand. He wasn't right but credit to Darcis - a nice little interview with him at the start of today's BBC coverage. Seems a nice bloke.
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Post by Incrediblexman Tue 25 Jun 2013, 7:41 pm

I would hope Federer can take a few lessons from Nadal's defeat and play a bit flatter, especially off the backhand when he next plays the Spaniard. I doubt he will though as he is too stubborn.

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