World Cup Predictions Competition - Charity Donation for Winner - Entries by Fri 13th Feb

First topic message reminder :

Get your predictions in now and let's see how we all did at the end of the tournament. I have kept it simple so it's not too onerous to contribute. £25 donation to a charity of the winner's choice

Scoring System:
3 points per semi finalist
4 points per finalist
5 points for picking the overall winner

The maximum score is therefore 25

Tiebreak (TB) is number of sixes hit in the whole tournament.

VTR:
Winner: South Africa
Runners Up: New Zealand
Beaten Semi Finalists: England, Australia
TB: 450

Kingraf
Winner: Australia
Runners Up: South Africa
Beaten Semi Finalists: England, New Zealand
TB: 440

JDizzle
Winner: Australia
Runners Up: New Zealand
Beaten Semi Finalists: England, India
TB: 398

Guildfordbat
Winner: Australia
Runners Up: South Africa
Beaten Semi Finalists: Sri Lanka, New Zealand
TB: 680

Mike
Winner: Australia
Runners Up: New Zealand
Beaten Semi Finalists: South Africa, India
TB: 591

Stella
Winner: South Africa
Runner Up: Australia
Beaten Semi Finalists: New Zealand, England
TB: 563

Biltong
Winner: Australia
Runner Up: New Zealand
Beaten Semi Finalists: South Africa, India
TB: 327

Liverbnz
Winner: New Zealand
Runner Up: Australia
Beaten Semi Finalists: South Africa, West Indies
TB: 284

Duty
Winner: England
Runner Up: South Africa
Beaten Semi Finalists: New Zealand, Australia
TB: 387

Mad for Chelsea
Winners: Australia
Runners-Up: NZ
Beaten Semi Finalists: England, South Africa
TB: 527

Fernando
Winner: Sri Lanka
Runner Up: West Indies
Beaten Semi Finalists: Australia, India
TB: 437

The Loaded Dog
Winner: South Africa
Runner Up: Australia
Beaten Semi Finalists: New Zealand, England
TB: 416

Corporal
Winner: New Zealand
Runner Up: Australia
Beaten Semi Finalists: South Africa, Sri Lanka
TB: 512

Gerry SA
Winner: South Africa
Runners up: New Zealand
Beaten semi finalists: Australia, Sri Lanka
TB: 485

KP Fan
Winner: Australia
Runner Up: Pakistan
Beaten Semi Finalists: South Africa, New Zealand
TB: 450

mystiroakey
Winner: Australia
Runners Up: South Africa
Beaten Semi Finalists: England, New Zealand
TB: 438

alfie
Winner: Australia
Runners Up: England
Beaten Semi Finalists: New Zealand, Sri Lanka
TB: 468

Olly
Winner: New Zealand
Runners up: Australia
Beaten Semi Finalists: West Indies, South Africa
TB: 505

Sportform
Winner: South Africa
Runners Up: Australia
Beaten Semi Finalists: New Zealand, West Indies
TB: 366

I'm going to go higher still for the number of sixes and say 680.

Far greater emphasis on six hitting now than ever before plus some smaller boundaries. Incredible to remember that the wooden fence between spectators and the outfield sometimes used to be the boundary marker - I recall John Snow damaging his hand on the fence when going for a catch in a Test in Australia in the '70/71 Ashes.

How many matches are there?

Biltong wrote:How many matches are there?

49 matches, 42 of them group games!

I'll go 440 sixes

If I'm in time:

Winner NZ
Finalist Australia
Losing semi finalists SA, Sri Lanka

TB 512

I've cleverly looked at all the recent ODI's in the tri-series and the NZ vs SL/Pak matches, calculated the number of sixes hit, worked out the average number of sixes per game and then plucked a number out of thin air.

398.

Total sixes 327

JDizzle wrote:I've cleverly looked at all the recent ODI's in the tri-series and the NZ vs SL/Pak matches, calculated the number of sixes hit, worked out the average number of sixes per game and then plucked a number out of thin air.

guildfordbat wrote:I'm going to go higher still for the number of sixes and say 680.  

Wow - 680!    Presumably based on assumption that Jason Roy will get a late call up for England?

Not to late to enter Corporal (or anyone else). Cut off date is the day before the tournament starts. Will update the OP tomorrow and have a roll call of those who need to add a tiebreaker prediction

Shall add my total sixes 437

Ok, all updated. Bit of a roll call for Duty, Liverb and Mad for Chelsea to add their sixes prediction.

I am quite busy today and over the weekend, but will pick up and update early next week. There is still a week to get entries in for anyone else who fancies playing!

I'm going to go 527.

Corporalhumblebucket wrote:

guildfordbat wrote:I'm going to go higher still for the number of sixes and say 680.  

Wow - 680!    Presumably based on assumption that Jason Roy will get a late call up for England?

I heard Jason Roy speak at a members' forum at the Oval circa 2011 when Surrey were playing Leics in a CC match. Jimmy Taylor was playing for the visitors then and was starting to be spoken of as the great hope of English cricket. Roy voiced his own admiration of Taylor and expressed the hope that he might bat with him for England one day. We can dream, eh JD?

guildfordbat wrote:

Corporalhumblebucket wrote:

guildfordbat wrote:I'm going to go higher still for the number of sixes and say 680.  

Wow - 680!    Presumably based on assumption that Jason Roy will get a late call up for England?

I heard Jason Roy speak at a members' forum at the Oval circa 2011 when Surrey were playing Leics in a CC match. Jimmy Taylor was playing for the visitors then and was starting to be spoken of as the great hope of English cricket. Roy voiced his own admiration of Taylor and expressed the hope that he might bat with him for England one day. We can dream, eh JD?

We're halfway there! And I see Roy was impressive for the Lions, getting closer!

284 sixes. Thanks VDT!

liverbnz wrote:284 sixes. Thanks VDT!

AH, someone who did some research

Haha! That 10 minutes could be the difference!

liverbnz wrote:Haha! That 10 minutes could be the difference!

Totally agree, but first you have to engage your brain before enthusiasm gets the better of you. Calm down and think "Where did I see this before" and then as the gears in your skull mash and grind, the answer comes "Ah, there has been previous world cups" and then your brain engages once more, you consider how cricket has changed in the last four years and the answer comes "Ha, maybe I'll add 10-15 % onto the last one"

Then you brain disengages, the gears come to a halt, you sit back, wait for the blank stare to return and wait for the Six Nations to begin.

Well the range of six predictions is very interesting. We have from 284 to 680, so the difference between those two predictions is about 10 per match!

Just Duty to add his prediction. I am imagining he is calculating a very high number as we speak factoring in that it will be raining sixes every time England step out to bat

it will be raining sixes every time England step out to bat bowl

If the associates bowl first in their games against ze big boys, then we will get near 600-700.

Biltong wrote:it will be raining sixes every time England step out to bat bowl  

Now, now. I am backing the boys to keep the number of sixes conceded in check when we bowl at Afghanistan!

Stella wrote:If the associates bowl first in their games against ze big boys, then we will get near 600-700.

SA vs the UAE is in Wellington. Get your hard hats ready!

VTR wrote:

Stella wrote:If the associates bowl first in their games against ze big boys, then we will get near 600-700.

SA vs the UAE is in Wellington. Get your hard hats ready!

South Africa will score 500, choke, then let them win by 1 wicket

Um...I shall say 387 sixes.

Duty281 wrote:Um...I shall say 387 sixes.

Thanks, everyone is up to date. Some very interesting picks so far. The consensus seems to be around the strong seam bowling nations to do well as you might expect. But there is quite a lot of variation in the order of them, and some predictions of surprise packages which could be a good call as these things hardly ever go to form.

Sorry to be a pain, VTR but after further consideration can I change my final TB to 416?

Yes no problem, will update the OP on Monday. Will have to take this one as your final answer though

India to make the most pathetic world cup defense in history and go out in the group stages.

VTR wrote:Yes no problem, will update the OP on Monday. Will have to take this one as your final answer though

Ta VTR. That's it.. locked in now.

Champions: South Africa
Runners up: New Zealand
Beaten semi finalists: Australia & Sri Lanka
TB: 485

semi-finalists
Aus, NZ, SA, Pak

Final Aus, Pak

Winner Aus

KP fan, thanks for your picks, can you add a prediction for total number of 6s in the tournament too?

VTR wrote:KP fan, thanks for your picks, can you add a prediction for total number of 6s in the tournament too?

Ohh this is as wild as a guess gets.....I pick 450

All updated - still time for people to enter, though nearly all the names I recognise off here are in the hat

Hi VTR- ta For this.

I am in


Winner: Australia
Runners Up: South Africa
Semi Finalists: England, New Zealand
Total sixes: 438

Suppose I should have a go at this though I have zero confidence in predicting all those matches. So as a special favour to kingraf who has enough pressure I will go for SA to keep their perfect record of failure in knockout games
...which considering India seem to be in Australia on holiday and Pakistan and West Indies are both in disarray means that Group A will provide all the semi finalists (Yes I know...don't really believe it either but just for fun)
Australia to beat England in the final after NZ and Sri Lanka fall in the semis.
468 sixes.

Cheers Alfie. I honestly think if we win a knockout match here, we'd have made such progress in banishing these demons. We should really have won in 1999, but we went wrong because we tried to crawl to the line. Klusener made a rather fateful error in judgement (that said, if Donald had gone for the run, with Waugh off balance, and under massive pressure, he might have had a chance), but having Klusener down to bat at eight was nearly criminal.

Updated again, we have a whopping 17 entries now, so I am glad the format is simple as I wouldn't be able to administer anything more complex!

Good work VTR

Winner - New Zealand
Runner up - Australia
Semi Finalists - West Indies, Saffers
TB - 505 sixes

Player of the tournament - CHRIS WOAKES TIME BABAY

Last chance to enter if anyone else fancies a go. I will accept entries up to 03:30 GMT on Saturday, which is when the tournament starts.

Winners South Africa
Runners Up Australia
Semi Finalists New Zealand, West Indies
Tie-breaker 366 sixes

All up to date. Entries now closed so no late bids with Ireland as winners please

Geek news.

There were 24 sixes in the Ireland v West Indies game.

If that were to be the average in each of the 49 games, by my back of the envelope calculations that would see 1,176 maximums being struck. Makes the highest prediction from me of 680 seem very conservative!

guildfordbat wrote:Geek news.

There were 24 sixes in the Ireland v West Indies game.

If that were to be the average in each of the 49 games, by my back of the envelope calculations that would see 1,176 maximums being struck. Makes the highest prediction from me of 680 seem very conservative!

I was wondering how that was going. I think there have been 55 so far in 5 games. All teams batting first have scored over 300, so it is looking like a tournament where a hell of a lot of sixes will be hit!

Machan just hit the first six in the Scotland - NZ match. I'd be surprised if there were 24 sixes in this match, but you never know....

A few stats on this:

There have been 19 entries with everyone backing Aus to make at least the semi-finals. 15 have them in the final with 9 having them as the winner

NZ come next with all but one entry backing them to get to the semi-finals, though only 3 have them as the winner.

Eng and SL have only one pick each to win the whole thing, with everyone else going for either Aus, SA or NZ

Pak only have one vote to reach at least the semis. All the other "Big 8" have at least 4 votes each though no-one has backed India to reach the final.

The average number of sixes chosen is 459

so we have had 11 6's per game on average and there is 42 games?


going by the small sample we are looking at around 460 plus. which is very similar to our average of 459.