Ideal ranking for Federer
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Tennisanorak
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Ideal ranking for Federer
First topic message reminder :
Since the race for the #2 ranking is hotting up, I was thinking what the ideal ranking for Fed would be.
Federer at #2:
Assuming the rankings are Djoker, Fed, Nadal, Murray in that order, there’d be a 50% chance of a Djoker- Nadal and Fed- Murray semis which is exactly what Fed wants. However, in the other scenario, of Federer- Nadal and Djoker- Murray semis, he would have to beat Nadal in the semi and Djoker in the final. That is a tough ask.
Federer at #3:
If however the rankings are Djoker, Murray, Federer, Nadal, then Federer avoids Nadal till the final. Djoker- Nadal and Fed- Murray semis are is still 50% likely, but in the other scenario, the semis now become Federer- Djoker and Murray- Nadal. I think this is better for Federer since Murray might beat Nadal.
In short, Federer’s best chances are if Murray becomes #2 and Federer and Nadal are at numbers 3 and 4 (the order between Fed and Nadal is immaterial). This is a very likely outcome as things stand.
Incidentally, this is also the order of rankings Nadal would prefer as it gives him the best chance of avoiding Djoker. He would much rather prefer to play Murray in the semis and then Federer rather than Federer in the semis and then Djoker (like at the AO). Of course, there's a 50% chance that he'll meet Djoker in both cases (i.e. if the # 2 ranked player is Federer or Murray)
Hopefully, Murray plays well in the next few tournaments and becomes #2 by the French Open! That would be awesome!
Since the race for the #2 ranking is hotting up, I was thinking what the ideal ranking for Fed would be.
Federer at #2:
Assuming the rankings are Djoker, Fed, Nadal, Murray in that order, there’d be a 50% chance of a Djoker- Nadal and Fed- Murray semis which is exactly what Fed wants. However, in the other scenario, of Federer- Nadal and Djoker- Murray semis, he would have to beat Nadal in the semi and Djoker in the final. That is a tough ask.
Federer at #3:
If however the rankings are Djoker, Murray, Federer, Nadal, then Federer avoids Nadal till the final. Djoker- Nadal and Fed- Murray semis are is still 50% likely, but in the other scenario, the semis now become Federer- Djoker and Murray- Nadal. I think this is better for Federer since Murray might beat Nadal.
In short, Federer’s best chances are if Murray becomes #2 and Federer and Nadal are at numbers 3 and 4 (the order between Fed and Nadal is immaterial). This is a very likely outcome as things stand.
Incidentally, this is also the order of rankings Nadal would prefer as it gives him the best chance of avoiding Djoker. He would much rather prefer to play Murray in the semis and then Federer rather than Federer in the semis and then Djoker (like at the AO). Of course, there's a 50% chance that he'll meet Djoker in both cases (i.e. if the # 2 ranked player is Federer or Murray)
Hopefully, Murray plays well in the next few tournaments and becomes #2 by the French Open! That would be awesome!
Tennisanorak- Posts : 204
Join date : 2011-07-04
Re: Ideal ranking for Federer
Dave Chapelle has nothing on me.
Josiah Maiestas- Posts : 6700
Join date : 2011-06-05
Age : 35
Location : Towel Island
Re: Ideal ranking for Federer
Cocaine is a hell of a drug...
reckoner- Posts : 2652
Join date : 2011-09-09
Re: Ideal ranking for Federer
you could pick a good comedian
LuvSports!- Posts : 4701
Join date : 2011-09-18
Re: Ideal ranking for Federer
It's no coincidence that the longest number two in tennis history has been Rafael Nadal.LuvSports! wrote:the jokes just keep on getting better
Guest- Guest
Re: Ideal ranking for Federer
Nore Staat wrote:It's no coincidence that the longest number two in tennis history has been Rafael Nadal.LuvSports! wrote:the jokes just keep on getting better
Seriously, that guy is number 2 through and through.
reckoner- Posts : 2652
Join date : 2011-09-09
Re: Ideal ranking for Federer
reckoner wrote:So could you?
To name a few of my faves:
Billy Connolly, Dara O'Briain, Frank Caliendo, Ross Noble, Sean lock, Bill Bailey and Reginald D hunter to name but a few
LuvSports!- Posts : 4701
Join date : 2011-09-18
Re: Ideal ranking for Federer
I stopped reading at "Billy Connolly"
Josiah Maiestas- Posts : 6700
Join date : 2011-06-05
Age : 35
Location : Towel Island
Re: Ideal ranking for Federer
LuvSports! wrote:reckoner wrote:So could you?
To name a few of my faves:
Billy Connolly, Dara O'Briain, Frank Caliendo, Ross Noble, Sean lock, Bill Bailey and Reginald D hunter to name but a few
Hey! I like most of those!
reckoner- Posts : 2652
Join date : 2011-09-09
Re: Ideal ranking for Federer
Josiah Maiestas wrote:I stopped reading at "Billy Connolly"
lol ah c'mon in his day he was alright
reckoner- Posts : 2652
Join date : 2011-09-09
Re: Ideal ranking for Federer
reckoner wrote:LuvSports! wrote:reckoner wrote:So could you?
To name a few of my faves:
Billy Connolly, Dara O'Briain, Frank Caliendo, Ross Noble, Sean lock, Bill Bailey and Reginald D hunter to name but a few
Hey! I like most of those!
gd 2 hear Some are better live than on panel shows on vice versa, i.e. frankie boyle was epic on MTW but not great standup
LuvSports!- Posts : 4701
Join date : 2011-09-18
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