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Australian Open: Day Ten - 2014

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Post by laverfan Wed 22 Jan 2014, 12:03 am

First topic message reminder :

http://www.ausopen.com/en_AU/scores/schedule/schedule15.html

Day 9 somehow got lost , but Day 10 is ready to start.

Australian Open: Day Ten - 2014 - Page 4 PYOUdus

Cibulkova would be an interesting winner, but she has a hard time closing matches (she is a class apart from the recent Djokovic antics).

Vika should have an easier time, but ARad is a tough cookie.

The Mens side has seen two "upsets" already, is there room for more?

Can Grigor (Baby Fed, Sorry to the French version) do the possible and upset Nadal the Iron Man?

Perhaps Federer (the elder) is the more capable between the two to cause an upset and beat Murray?

Fun day of Tennis awaits. Goodluck to all contestants today. Fingers Crossed

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Post by lags72 Wed 22 Jan 2014, 10:50 am

If Fed takes the TB (have my doubts) then the scoreline will be exactly as per their 2010 Final. Spooky, eh .....?

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Post by ChequeredJersey Wed 22 Jan 2014, 10:50 am

No, guys, play to 5 sets! Go on, for Raf... I mean, the audience!
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Post by barrystar Wed 22 Jan 2014, 10:51 am

There's the first mini-break
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Post by Jahu Wed 22 Jan 2014, 10:53 am

Fed giving lessons on defense!
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Post by ALPanorak Wed 22 Jan 2014, 10:53 am

Federer channelling his inner-Djokovic, impressive retrieving

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Post by Jahu Wed 22 Jan 2014, 10:54 am

5:2 come on Feddddddddddd
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Post by barrystar Wed 22 Jan 2014, 10:55 am

MP...
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Post by Jahu Wed 22 Jan 2014, 10:55 am

2 rockets Fed, 2 rockets NOW
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Post by Jahu Wed 22 Jan 2014, 10:56 am

Crazy return from Andy,
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Post by barrystar Wed 22 Jan 2014, 10:57 am

If Rafa's watching I wonder who he'd prefer to win this tiebreaker...
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Post by ChequeredJersey Wed 22 Jan 2014, 10:58 am

Andy, clearly. He'll want Fed to win in 5 sets
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Post by ALPanorak Wed 22 Jan 2014, 11:00 am

Kudos to murray for some great resilience there but seriously, Federer has wilted twice with the match on his racket, played scared when it mattered.

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Post by JuliusHMarx Wed 22 Jan 2014, 11:00 am

Whew! Comeback is on! Fed's 1st serve lets him down in the TB

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Post by Jahu Wed 22 Jan 2014, 11:01 am

Oh man. Well, a little wobble, costs a lot.

4'th set 6:3 for Fed to be Smile
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Post by barrystar Wed 22 Jan 2014, 11:01 am

Scheiße
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Post by barrystar Wed 22 Jan 2014, 11:02 am

lags72 wrote:If Fed takes the TB (have my doubts) then the scoreline will be exactly as per their 2010 Final. Spooky, eh .....?

And after that Match Fed said he was very relieved to have taken it when he did, because he was not looking forward to a 4th set.
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Post by Danny_1982 Wed 22 Jan 2014, 11:03 am

This is not the best of Murray, any Murray fan will tell you that... But the fight, wow! Murray has not played matches like this, so I think there is a good chance we may see Federer race through this 4th set.

But even if he does, great signs for Murray.

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Post by HM Murdock Wed 22 Jan 2014, 11:05 am

I'm stunned.

If Federer can't take those opportunities against a below-best Andy, he's not going to take them when it's Rafa in his headlights.

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Post by Jahu Wed 22 Jan 2014, 11:07 am

Well Fed had 2,5 strong sets, he cant keep it 3 full sets when the other guy starts to wake up.
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Post by lags72 Wed 22 Jan 2014, 11:08 am

Danny_1982 wrote:Ha, I think Fed will take the tie break.

If Murray managed to steal it, then it would be fun... But I really don't think the comeback is on.

And I'm still not convinced you're right Danny wrt ruling out the comeback

Those Murray fingernails haven't snapped yet ........!

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Post by Danny_1982 Wed 22 Jan 2014, 11:09 am

I agree HM. Even if he wins this set comfortably (which looking at Andy now is a real possibility) it won't paper over the fact that Fed looked extremely tight with the match in his hands.

Andy is shattered. This will be over within 20 mins.

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Post by Jahu Wed 22 Jan 2014, 11:09 am

0:40 break him Fed
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Post by Lionel Hutz Wed 22 Jan 2014, 11:09 am

It would be a positive for Federer to come through in four. If he had steamrolled through Tsonga and Murray, he just would not have been battle ready for Nadal. So its a blessing in disguise. Best to feel those nerves now imho.

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Post by Gerry SA Wed 22 Jan 2014, 11:10 am

Roger can't afford there kinda mistakes at this stage of his career. 

Spending an extra 1hr on court will make beating Nadal even tougher, if he can still close out this match...

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Post by Lionel Hutz Wed 22 Jan 2014, 11:11 am

Danny_1982 wrote:I agree HM. Even if he wins this set comfortably (which looking at Andy now is a real possibility) it won't paper over the fact that Fed looked extremely tight with the match in his hands.

Andy is shattered. This will be over within 20 mins.

Federer is gonna get tight against Nadal. Thats a given.

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Post by barrystar Wed 22 Jan 2014, 11:11 am

Lionel Hutz wrote:It would be a positive for Federer to come through in four. If he had steamrolled through Tsonga and Murray, he just would not have been battle ready for Nadal. So its a blessing in disguise. Best to feel those nerves now imho.
 
Best darned disguise I ever saw.
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Post by Silver Wed 22 Jan 2014, 11:15 am

Morning chaps. Pretty good match, eh?

Poor from Federer to not close it out, but credit to Murray for persistently stepping his level up. If I'm honest, I'm just glad that he's back, seemingly pain-free and competing with the top players again. Spoken as someone who's not a particular fan of his!

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Post by Lionel Hutz Wed 22 Jan 2014, 11:17 am

barrystar wrote:
Lionel Hutz wrote:It would be a positive for Federer to come through in four. If he had steamrolled through Tsonga and Murray, he just would not have been battle ready for Nadal. So its a blessing in disguise. Best to feel those nerves now imho.
 
Best darned disguise I ever saw.

Well, its not all bad. Maybe thats a better way to put it. We've all seen it before. Federer cruises to Nadal, but cruise control wont cut it against Nadal.

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Post by Jahu Wed 22 Jan 2014, 11:18 am

Come on Fed you need this break.
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Post by Danny_1982 Wed 22 Jan 2014, 11:21 am

Yeah Silver as a Murray fan I'm chuffed. His depth hadn't been great, he hasn't looked strong on the stretch. His serve has been average and he's done very little with Feds second serves.

But the effort and fight, wow. If he loses this game there's a good chance of a 6/1 or even 6/0, but the long term signs are tremendous.

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Post by barrystar Wed 22 Jan 2014, 11:21 am

Lionel Hutz wrote:
barrystar wrote:
Lionel Hutz wrote:It would be a positive for Federer to come through in four. If he had steamrolled through Tsonga and Murray, he just would not have been battle ready for Nadal. So its a blessing in disguise. Best to feel those nerves now imho.
 
Best darned disguise I ever saw.

Well, its not all bad. Maybe thats a better way to put it. We've all seen it before. Federer cruises to Nadal, but cruise control wont cut it against Nadal.

Yes - that's true. They are both so experienced that ups and downs like a 4th set in another match probably don't amount to a great deal so long as the physical result can be absorbed. A fifth set would be more unambiguously bad I think.
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Post by Jahu Wed 22 Jan 2014, 11:22 am

BP 3/11 for Fed, Poor.
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Post by Lionel Hutz Wed 22 Jan 2014, 11:22 am

Is this trouble for Murray either way. Eurosport commentators say he's wrecked but I can never tell with him. He always looks tired to me.

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Post by Jahu Wed 22 Jan 2014, 11:23 am

Andy now ruins the net, come on man, behave yourself Wink
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Post by Turron Wed 22 Jan 2014, 11:24 am

How long has the second game gone on? According to Slamtracker the set is 24 minutes old.

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Post by Lionel Hutz Wed 22 Jan 2014, 11:25 am

Jahu wrote:BP 3/11 for Fed, Poor.

Hate the Break Point Stat. I think it should look at the number of games that a player gets break points in. Federer has had break points in four games by my reading and broken in three of them with the fourth still ongoing

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Post by Danny_1982 Wed 22 Jan 2014, 11:26 am

This is great stuff. I reckon Feds knows these break points are essentially match points, but Murray won't stop fighting. I suspect he may need a sleep break after!

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Post by Silver Wed 22 Jan 2014, 11:27 am

Danny_1982 wrote:Yeah Silver as a Murray fan I'm chuffed. His depth hadn't been great, he hasn't looked strong on the stretch. His serve has been average and he's done very little with Feds second serves.

But the effort and fight, wow. If he loses this game there's a good chance of a 6/1 or even 6/0, but the long term signs are tremendous.

I agree - the long-term prospects are what counts, here. He was always going to be up against it in this particular match, and he's done exceedingly well to take it to four. Funnily enough, a similar pattern to last year when Federer was below-par yet kept extended the match too! At least there's been no obvious pain or discomfort for Murray, that's important. The rotation low down on the backhand is a bit lacking, but since he's starting standing up to the baseline and taking it earlier he's been better off.

As a Federer fan, I'm pleased for Murray and all his fans. It's good to see him back! Smile

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Post by lags72 Wed 22 Jan 2014, 11:27 am

Danny_1982 wrote:I agree HM. Even if he wins this set comfortably (which looking at Andy now is a real possibility) it won't paper over the fact that Fed looked extremely tight with the match in his hands.

Andy is shattered. This will be over within 20 mins.

I assume you meant 20 mins for that last game ..... Wink 

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Post by barrystar Wed 22 Jan 2014, 11:29 am

Lionel Hutz wrote:
Jahu wrote:BP 3/11 for Fed, Poor.

Hate the Break Point Stat. I think it should look at the number of games that a player gets break points in. Federer has had break points in four games by my reading and broken in three of them with the fourth still ongoing

Yes - but it can also be pretty telling. Take the RG 2007 final for example:

Fed's conversion rate was 5% (1/17)

Nadal's conversion rate was 40% (4/10)

Isn't that the story of that particular match?
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Post by Silver Wed 22 Jan 2014, 11:30 am

Impressive winner count from Murray - 37 (vs 41 UEs).

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Post by laverfan Wed 22 Jan 2014, 11:30 am

Lionel Hutz wrote:Is this trouble for Murray either way. Eurosport commentators say he's wrecked but I can never tell with him. He always looks tired to me.

Lionel, Absolutely delighted to see you on v2. Welcome. rose

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Post by Danny_1982 Wed 22 Jan 2014, 11:36 am

Ha lags, Murray keen to prove me wrong at every turn.

One good return game from Fed and this will be over. They way Murray is playing he'll need to last another hour and a half to win. You must see that he can't do that physically.

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Post by Jahu Wed 22 Jan 2014, 11:44 am

Break him Fed, go go go goooooooooooo
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Post by Silver Wed 22 Jan 2014, 11:45 am

Great fight from Murray. He's serving very well.

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Post by Danny_1982 Wed 22 Jan 2014, 11:48 am

How is he staying alive?

I think he should just go for winners on Feds serve. There's no point in rallying.

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Post by shivfan Wed 22 Jan 2014, 11:49 am

Hmmm...Fed not attacking the net as much in this set.
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Post by Danny_1982 Wed 22 Jan 2014, 11:51 am

Fed playing this quite cleverly. He's just staying solid, not crazy aggressive. He knows slowing this match down is killing Murray physically.

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Post by Jahu Wed 22 Jan 2014, 11:53 am

Fed should just keep his serve going and here and there attack for a break, hes engaging in fight on Andys serve and its surprising that Andy is keeping it so strong, thought Fed is 70% of first two sets.
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Post by Jahu Wed 22 Jan 2014, 11:54 am

Fed needs a slap, Murray two of them.
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