England's winter of cricket 2024/25
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England's winter of cricket 2024/25
The squad for the tour of Pakistan has just been announced...Stokes and Crawley are back, with Dan Lawrence dropped. There are also recalls for Rehan Ahmed and Jack Leach, with Brydon Carse getting a tour also.
Full squad (likely XI then others);
Zak Crawley
Ben Duckett
Ollie Pope
Joe Root
Harry Brook
Ben Stokes
Jamie Smith (wk)
Gus Atkinson
Olly Stone
Jack Leach
Shoaib Bashir
Reserves:
Jordan Cox
Brydon Carse
Rehan Ahmed
Chris Woakes
Josh Hull
Matthew Potts
Will MacPherson noting they see Tom Hartley as more suited for the true turning wickets of SL/India/Bangladesh, hence his omission. Tests likely to be played at Rawalpindi, Multan, Rawalpindi. (Two Pindi tests...fun).
Extra seamers suggest Stokes might not be fit to bowl?
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Will need Duckett to be able to bat though you'd think, if we're to have any hope of saving the game or getting near this total. Don't think we're gonna be racking up 500+ with Woakes at 6 and Atkinson at 7!
Be handy if Joe Root can use all those runs he missed out on rather weirdly in the 2022 tour, in this one...
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Amazing batting conditions, but it must be asked as to why Pakistan persist with it? If they got wins through it I could understand. But they never win. They don't draw the crowds in. They just bore everyone for a few days and lose. I don't know what's going off out there.
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Duty281 wrote:I could see any of Woakes/Atkinson/Carse scoring big on this road.
Amazing batting conditions, but it must be asked as to why Pakistan persist with it? If they got wins through it I could understand. But they never win. They don't draw the crowds in. They just bore everyone for a few days and lose. I don't know what's going off out there.
It might be that they have little choice, as the pitches / grounds / stadia don't allow them to produce anything significantly different. Interesting stat from TMS that playing in Pakistan is an absolute spinners graveyard - highest average per wicket of any major Test nation. Strange that the perception is that you need two frontline spinners there, but in fact spinners (cumulatively) average over 50 there as opposed to (iirc) 31 in India and Sri Lanka.
One observation from today - Zak Crawley is using a very sweet bat at the moment.
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dummy_half wrote:Duty281 wrote:I could see any of Woakes/Atkinson/Carse scoring big on this road.
Amazing batting conditions, but it must be asked as to why Pakistan persist with it? If they got wins through it I could understand. But they never win. They don't draw the crowds in. They just bore everyone for a few days and lose. I don't know what's going off out there.
It might be that they have little choice, as the pitches / grounds / stadia don't allow them to produce anything significantly different. Interesting stat from TMS that playing in Pakistan is an absolute spinners graveyard - highest average per wicket of any major Test nation. Strange that the perception is that you need two frontline spinners there, but in fact spinners (cumulatively) average over 50 there as opposed to (iirc) 31 in India and Sri Lanka.
One observation from today - Zak Crawley is using a very sweet bat at the moment.
I did look it up and since 2000 in Pakistan in tests:
Pace bowlers have taken 793 wickets @ 36.12; Spinners have taken 579 wickets @ 40.55
In contrast India in the same time frame:
Pace bowlers have taken 1,388 wickets @ 36.34; Spinners have taken 2,172 wickets @ 31.73
Obviously a lot more tests in India! And Sri Lanka:
Pace bowlers have taken 1,433 wickets @ 35.31; Spinners have taken 2,137 wickets @ 31.12
And the UAE:
Pace bowlers have taken 553 wickets @ 32.48; Spinners have taken 645 wickets @ 33.43
Bangladesh:
Pace bowlers have taken 935 wickets @ 32.52; Spinners have taken 1,392 wickets @ 32.35
So there's not been a huge difference in terms of pace bowling in India/Sri Lanka/Pakistan. A few runs lower in UAE and Bangladesh, the latter perhaps explained by Bangladesh's newness to test cricket and propensity for lower scores as a result. Spinners, though, barely a difference in four of those places, just a 2.3 run spread, but in Pakistan it is indeed a graveyard and confounds the stereotype.
A 40.55 average for spinners in Pakistan since 2000 isn't much better than Australia (42.36), and is actually worse than England (37.37) and South Africa (39.55) and the West Indies (35.64) and New Zealand (39.65).
Two spinners really isn't needed for Pakistan, is it? But it would be tough to ask the seamers to take on the spinners' role in the oppressive heat of Pakistan. If, for instance, you took out Bashir for Stone/Potts in this one, you're asking for 32 overs to be found. Now Potts/Stone can get through 23, but that leaves a few more to be shared around the remaining seamers, or Root's part time spin. And that would also require greater seamer depth to get England through the series.
But definitely an eye opener and not something I'd previously considered. Current tally in this test is the quicks leading 6-5. Spinners averaging 68. Quicks averaging 51.
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Looking at those numbers though, there is an argument that England had the better plan last time by having spin bowling all-rounders in Jacks and Livi to fill in those ridiculous number of overs, whilst also extending the batting order. Interesting stuff on the stats though, thanks for looking that up Duty.
It was very nearly a brilliant position for England when they got Pakistan 8 down for well under 500. I think credit needs to be given to Agha for batting well from there though. Also some sympathy to England's bowlers that it coincided with the second ball being nearly 50 overs old and things really dying down. Agha chose his moment well and batted smartly. Fair play.
There's a lot of scoreboard pressure and a few keeping low, but it's still an absolute road. It would take either some incredible bowling or incredibly poor batting to not get up near Pakistan's score on this track. I'd be disappointed if at least 2 of the top 6 can't cash in with big tons tomorrow. The three seamers mostly bowled well in the evening session I felt but Abrar was targeted already and Agha isn't a strong 5th bowler. If they can force the seamers to keep coming back then bowling should only get easier.
As others said earlier, it's really important for not just this Test but also the series to keep the England bowlers resting on the balcony and the Pakistan bowlers/batters struggling in the heat for as long as possible. Judging by the 'crowd' moving around the stadium through the day to chase the shadows even though they're sat down, that heat must be savage!
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Re: England's winter of cricket 2024/25
Root is the key for Eng
Pak get him below 75 odd and they will get a reasonable lead , I'd say 150+
Root gets a substantial 100 and bats 2 more sessions and Eng will come within 50 runs of Pak in their first inning
We saw in BD games that on D4/D5 it becomes a 300 and 250 pitch.
Pak still quite ahead in the game & Eng have to do substantial work to be marginally behind...like be around 500 for 9 by end of tomm.
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Boring test match on a boring pitch, but worth following the score at least, for the time being...
PS, how on earth did Oliver Pope miss out on a guaranteed ton on that road? Absolutely unbelievable!
Last edited by msp83 on Tue 08 Oct 2024, 7:17 pm; edited 1 time in total
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It indeed was well-taken. I could envisage Root failing in these conditions but not Pope.GSC wrote:A worldie catch in fairness, he nailed the shot. Whether he needed to go to that second ball debatable I guess
What is the news on Duckett? Read above that he isn't going for a scan, have they made it clear as to whether he's ready to bat tomorrow?
Have a feeling England didn't select the best possible squad. Chris Woakes is a poor bowler in non-English conditions, and his batting, though might come off in flat conditions, is also not strong enough to consider him. When Stokes didn't recover in time, they should possibly have gone for Rehan , or should have selected another batter who could have bowled some half-decent spin.
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That, and Hull's injury with no replacement, leaves England in a tricky spot, as Potts is the only fresh seamer available, with Woakes/Carse/Atkinson all getting through a lot of work in tough conditions already. Second test starts on Tuesday, at the same ground.
It has also been nearly five years since the last triple century in tests, which was Warner v Pakistan in November 2019. I think it's currently the biggest wait for a triple ton since the 16 year wait between Rowe's effort in 1974 and Gooch's in 1990 (which was England's last). Good chance tomorrow?
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msp83 wrote:The best thing for Pakistan today is not that they managed to reach 556, but that they've taken significant time out doing so. That has meant England couldn't have a lot of time in fabulous batting conditions, and that they had to spend all that time in the field, in challenging conditions. England should go in with a conservative Bazball approach tomorrow. Settle for scoring 320 around on the day, for the loss of not more than 4 or 5 at max, ending the day around 420-4/5. Then actually bat into day 4, for half the day at least... If they manage that, they should be able to perhaps take a small lead, that in itself will put Pakistan batting under pressure, and it might yet happen, that this pitch will wake up!!!!! at some point by end of day 4!!!
Boring test match on a boring pitch, but worth following the score at least, for the time being...
PS, how on earth did Oliver Pope miss out on a guaranteed ton on that road? Absolutely unbelievable!
Hi msp - we're not far apart there. I was thinking end the day around 450-6/7. I'll actually be content if we can then bat just the first hour of day 4. I'll explain my thinking if we get anywhere close to that; that's not for now as I'm in grave danger of getting far too far ahead of myself and the game.
Just to throw in here that England have done pretty well since Pakistan were 261/1 sometime after tea on day 1. From then, we've taken 9 wickets on close to a road in challenging conditions for (only) 295 and put on 96 for the loss of one wicket with a regular opener absent hurt.
Just a shame about that 261.
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Duty281 wrote:Stone is unlikely to be available for the second test, which makes me wonder why they picked him for this tour? He surely couldn't play this test, because his wedding is on Saturday and this test might not finish until late Friday, and he's unlikely to be around for the second test. So they picked him for just the third test?
That, and Hull's injury with no replacement, leaves England in a tricky spot, as Potts is the only fresh seamer available, with Woakes/Carse/Atkinson all getting through a lot of work in tough conditions already. Second test starts on Tuesday, at the same ground.
It has also been nearly five years since the last triple century in tests, which was Warner v Pakistan in November 2019. I think it's currently the biggest wait for a triple ton since the 16 year wait between Rowe's effort in 1974 and Gooch's in 1990 (which was England's last). Good chance tomorrow?
Hi Duty - share your concerns about shattered and missing seamers. I read somewhere that Stone should arrive back in Pakistan on Monday; that's the day before the second test starts but surely not enough time for him to be ready.
However, where did your last para come from? I suspect a cheeky bet. If so, good luck to the England batsman concerned and you!
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My thinking was that Atkinson, Stone and Carse were likely to play 2 Tests apiece to try to keep the quicker options fresh-ish. Still, I wouldn't mind a fresh Stone coming in for T3 if that's what now fits.
I think a replacement should have been called up though between this, Hull's injury and Stokes seeming unlikely to bowl. Pennington is in the Lions squad for November, so presumably isn't far away. Saqib Mahmood was back and bowling really well at the end of the summer. Even the very talented John Turner as cover.
They're basically one seamer rolling their ankle in the nets away from just having to pick the three seamers left standing.
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Duty281 wrote:I could see any of Woakes/Atkinson/Carse scoring big on this road.
Amazing batting conditions, but it must be asked as to why Pakistan persist with it? If they got wins through it I could understand. But they never win. They don't draw the crowds in. They just bore everyone for a few days and lose. I don't know what's going off out there.
Blimey , Duty : sounding very like the reincarnation of Fred Trueman
But I do share your bewilderment at Pakistan's choice for totally dead strips. Granted it is tricky to produce anything exactly lively in the local conditions but you'd think they could produce something a little better than this. Still I guess if England somehow mess up with the bat here they will gladly take it. Seems unlikely on what we've seen so far.
If England can get up around that 550 (which they'd presumably do early day four) then there could indeed be life back in the game. But that is indeed getting ahead of ourselves...
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The fear would be England are all out for 390 in about a day. This isn't a pitch you need to go searching for runs on. Duckett and Brook both have a dim dismissal in their locker too
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Salman not faring much better in relief of Abrar
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GSC wrote:5th all time too, 2nd well within range
As is first!
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Also good to point out that the others at the top played in mainly successful teams. Some of Root's finest batting came during his spell as captain when the rest of the batting was rubbish.
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GSC wrote:Successful morning, just the loss of Crawley navigated for near enough 140 runs. Still over 300 runs behind though so some more piling up needed. Duckett due a conversion too
Oops
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He is getting the ball to tail in a bit...reverse.
Abrar's length is too full & is too fast...needs to flight a bit and slow it down and will get more purchase.
If Pak prise out Root for a 100 or even a little over, they are in for a decent lead
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Good Golly I'm Olly wrote:Shan directly ignored his keeper on both reviews and Rizwan correct on both occasions - two reviews down for Pakistan now
Hi Olly - As we've both banged on about before, the importance of the keeper for reviews - and, of course, him being listened to.
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